Chance-Constrained Outage Scheduling using a Machine Learning Proxy

Outage scheduling aims at defining, over a horizon of several months to years, when different components needing maintenance should be taken out of operation. Its objective is to minimize operation-cost expectation while satisfying reliability-related constraints. We propose a distributed scenario-based chance-constrained optimization formulation for this problem. To tackle tractability issues arising in large networks, we use machine learning to build a proxy for predicting outcomes of power system operation processes in this context. On the IEEE-RTS79 and IEEE-RTS96 networks, our solution obtains cheaper and more reliable plans than other candidates

School bus selection, routing and scheduling.

The aim of this thesis is to develop formulations and exact algorithms for the school bus routing and scheduling problem and to develop an integrated software implementation using Xpress-MP/CPLEX and ArcGIS of ESRI, a geographical information system software package. In this thesis, bus flow, single commodity flow, two-commodity flow, multi-commodity flow, and time window formulations have been developed. They capture all of the important elements of the School Bus Routing and Scheduling Problem (SBRSP) including homogeneous or heterogeneous bus fleets, the identification of bus stops from a large set of potential bus stops, and the assignment of students to stops and stops to routes. They allow for the one stop-one bus and one stop-multi bus scenarios. Each formulation of the SBRSP has a linear programming relaxation and we present the relationships among them. We present a Branch-and-Cut exact algorithm which makes use of new linearization techniques, new valid inequalities, and the first valid equalities. We develop an integrated software package that is based on Geographical Information System (GIS) map-based interface, linking to an Xpress-MP/CPLEX solver. The interface between GIS and Xpress-MP is written in VBA and VC++.Dept. of Mathematics and Statistics. Paper copy at Leddy Library: Theses & Major Papers - Basement, West Bldg. / Call Number: Thesis2005 .K4. Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 66-11, Section: B, page: 6250. Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Windsor (Canada), 2005

Chance-Constrained Day-Ahead Hourly Scheduling in Distribution System Operation

This paper aims to propose a two-step approach for day-ahead hourly scheduling in a distribution system operation, which contains two operation costs, the operation cost at substation level and feeder level. In the first step, the objective is to minimize the electric power purchase from the day-ahead market with the stochastic optimization. The historical data of day-ahead hourly electric power consumption is used to provide the forecast results with the forecasting error, which is presented by a chance constraint and formulated into a deterministic form by Gaussian mixture model (GMM). In the second step, the objective is to minimize the system loss. Considering the nonconvexity of the three-phase balanced AC optimal power flow problem in distribution systems, the second-order cone program (SOCP) is used to relax the problem. Then, a distributed optimization approach is built based on the alternating direction method of multiplier (ADMM). The results shows that the validity and effectiveness method.Comment: 5 pages, preprint for Asilomar Conference on Signals, Systems, and Computers 201

Risk-Averse Model Predictive Operation Control of Islanded Microgrids

In this paper we present a risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) scheme for the operation of islanded microgrids with very high share of renewable energy sources. The proposed scheme mitigates the effect of errors in the determination of the probability distribution of renewable infeed and load. This allows to use less complex and less accurate forecasting methods and to formulate low-dimensional scenario-based optimisation problems which are suitable for control applications. Additionally, the designer may trade performance for safety by interpolating between the conventional stochastic and worst-case MPC formulations. The presented risk-averse MPC problem is formulated as a mixed-integer quadratically-constrained quadratic problem and its favourable characteristics are demonstrated in a case study. This includes a sensitivity analysis that illustrates the robustness to load and renewable power prediction errors