Deep neural learning based distributed predictive control for offshore wind farm using high fidelity LES data

The paper explores the deep neural learning (DNL) based predictive control approach for offshore wind farm using high fidelity large eddy simulations (LES) data. The DNL architecture is defined by combining the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) units with Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) for feature extraction and prediction of the offshore wind farm. This hybrid CNN-LSTM model is developed based on the dynamic models of the wind farm and wind turbines as well as higher-fidelity LES data. Then, distributed and decentralized model predictive control (MPC) methods are developed based on the hybrid model for maximizing the wind farm power generation and minimizing the usage of the control commands. Extensive simulations based on a two-turbine and a nine-turbine wind farm cases demonstrate the high prediction accuracy (97% or more) of the trained CNN-LSTM models. They also show that the distributed MPC can achieve up to 38% increase in power generation at farm scale than the decentralized MPC. The computational time of the distributed MPC is around 0.7s at each time step, which is sufficiently fast as a real-time control solution to wind farm operations

Reliability of Dynamic Load Scheduling with Solar Forecast Scenarios

This paper presents and evaluates the performance of an optimal scheduling algorithm that selects the on/off combinations and timing of a finite set of dynamic electric loads on the basis of short term predictions of the power delivery from a photovoltaic source. In the algorithm for optimal scheduling, each load is modeled with a dynamic power profile that may be different for on and off switching. Optimal scheduling is achieved by the evaluation of a user-specified criterion function with possible power constraints. The scheduling algorithm exploits the use of a moving finite time horizon and the resulting finite number of scheduling combinations to achieve real-time computation of the optimal timing and switching of loads. The moving time horizon in the proposed optimal scheduling algorithm provides an opportunity to use short term (time moving) predictions of solar power based on advection of clouds detected in sky images. Advection, persistence, and perfect forecast scenarios are used as input to the load scheduling algorithm to elucidate the effect of forecast errors on mis-scheduling. The advection forecast creates less events where the load demand is greater than the available solar energy, as compared to persistence. Increasing the decision horizon leads to increasing error and decreased efficiency of the system, measured as the amount of power consumed by the aggregate loads normalized by total solar power. For a standalone system with a real forecast, energy reserves are necessary to provide the excess energy required by mis-scheduled loads. A method for battery sizing is proposed for future work.Comment: 6 pager, 4 figures, Syscon 201

Risk-Averse Model Predictive Operation Control of Islanded Microgrids

In this paper we present a risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) scheme for the operation of islanded microgrids with very high share of renewable energy sources. The proposed scheme mitigates the effect of errors in the determination of the probability distribution of renewable infeed and load. This allows to use less complex and less accurate forecasting methods and to formulate low-dimensional scenario-based optimisation problems which are suitable for control applications. Additionally, the designer may trade performance for safety by interpolating between the conventional stochastic and worst-case MPC formulations. The presented risk-averse MPC problem is formulated as a mixed-integer quadratically-constrained quadratic problem and its favourable characteristics are demonstrated in a case study. This includes a sensitivity analysis that illustrates the robustness to load and renewable power prediction errors