Ship design with the human factor: evacuation and normal operations modelling in the ship design process

This thesis addresses the modelling of human factors and how they can impact ship design. Two different but related applications areas are considered; passenger ship evacuation analysis and naval vessel normal operations and evacuation analysis. In the first instance, this thesis investigates the impact of the current regulatory specified passenger response time distributions upon evacuation analysis and then recommends a more realistic passenger response time distribution which should be implemented when performing an evacuation analysis of a passenger RO-RO vessel. This realistic passenger response time distribution is based upon the results of sea trials. The results of this analysis have been adopted by the IMO and form part of the new guideline document, IMO MSC 1238. In addition, this thesis addresses the analysis of the human factors’ performance of a naval vessel. Naval vessels are built primarily for undertaking assigned missions in times of war and conflict. While the safety of those on board is important, the ability of the vessel to function and complete its assigned mission is of paramount importance. This thesis utilises an evacuation model, maritimeEXODUS, which was extended to incorporate the functionality of modelling non-evacuation scenarios, to assess the human factors’ performance of a naval vessel during both normal operations and evacuation scenarios. This thesis develops a methodology for simultaneously assessing the human factors’ performance of both a range of normal operation scenarios and evacuation scenario on board a naval vessel. The methodology, called the Human Performance Metric (HPM), is discriminating, diagnostic, systematic, transparent and reproducible in nature. This thesis then implements the HPM methodology into the early stages of the design cycle for a new naval vessel. The thesis presents the software modifications required to implement the methodology in to the design cycle as well as presenting a demonstration of the new system

VELOS : a VR platform for ship-evacuation analysis

Virtual Environment for Life On Ships (VELOS) is a multi-user Virtual Reality (VR) system that aims to support designers to assess (early in the design process) passenger and crew activities on a ship for both normal and hectic conditions of operations and to improve ship design accordingly. This article focuses on presenting the novel features of VELOS related to both its VR and evacuation-specific functionalities. These features include: (i) capability of multiple users’ immersion and active participation in the evacuation process, (ii) real-time interactivity and capability for making on-the-fly alterations of environment events and crowd-behavior parameters, (iii) capability of agents and avatars to move continuously on decks, (iv) integrated framework for both the simplified and advanced method of analysis according to the IMO/MSC 1033 Circular, (v) enrichment of the ship geometrical model with a topological model suitable for evacuation analysis, (vi) efficient interfaces for the dynamic specification and handling of the required heterogeneous input data, and (vii) post-processing of the calculated agent trajectories for extracting useful information for the evacuation process. VELOS evacuation functionality is illustrated using three evacuation test cases for a ro–ro passenger ship

VELOS: A VR Platform for Ship-Evacuation Analysis

“Virtual Environment for Life On Ships” (VELOS) is a multi-user Virtual Reality (VR) system that aims to support designers to assess (early in the design Process) passenger and crew activities on a ship for both normal and hectic Conditions of operations and to improve ship design accordingly. This paper focuses On presenting the novel features of VELOS related to both its VR and Evacuation-specific functionalities. These features include: i) capability of multiple Users’ immersion and active participation in the evacuation process, ii) Real-time interactivity and capability for making on-the-fly alterations of environment Events and crowd-behavior parameters, iii) capability of agents and Avatars to move continuously on decks, iv) integrated framework for both the Simplified and the advanced method of analysis according to the IMO/MSC 1033 Circular, v) enrichment of the ship geometrical model with a topological model Suitable for evacuation analysis, vi) efficient interfaces for the dynamic specification and handling of the required heterogeneous input data, and vii) post Processing of the calculated agent trajectories for extracting useful information For the evacuation process. VELOS evacuation functionality is illustrated using Three evacuation test cases for a ro-ro passenger ship

Modeling pedestrian evacuation movement in a swaying ship

With the advance in living standard, cruise travel has been rapidly expanding around the world in recent years. The transportation of passengers in water has also made a rapid development. It is expected that ships will be more and more widely used. Unfortunately, ship disasters occurred in these years caused serious losses. It raised the concern on effectiveness of passenger evacuation on ships. The present study thus focuses on pedestrian evacuation features on ships. On ships, passenger movements are affected by the periodical water motion and thus are quite different from the characteristic when walking on static horizontal floor. Taking into consideration of this special feature, an agent-based pedestrian model is formulized and the effect of ship swaying on pedestrian evacuation efficiency is investigated. Results indicated that the proposed model can be used to quantify the special evacuation process on ships.Comment: Traffic and Granular Flow'15, At Delft, the Netherland

Integrating a Simple Traffic Incident Model for Rapid Evacuation Analysis

Road transportation networks are a segment of society\u27s critical infrastructure particularly susceptible to service disruptions. Traffic incidents disrupt road networks by producing blockages and increasing travel times, creating significant impacts during emergency events such as evacuations. For this reason, it is extremely important to incorporate traffic incidents in evacuation planning models. Emergency managers and decision makers need tools that enable rapid assessment of multiple, varied scenarios. Many evacuation simulations require high-fidelity data input making them impractical for rapid deployment by practitioners. Since there is such variation in evacuation types and the method of disruption, evacuation models do not require the high-fidelity data needed by other types of transportation models. This paper\u27s purpose is to show that decision makers can gain useful information from rapid evacuation modeling which includes a simple traffic incident model. To achieve this purpose, the research team integrated a generic incident model into the Real-time Evacuation Planning Model (RtePM), a tool commissioned by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security to help emergency planners determine regional evacuation clearance times in the United States. RtePM is a simple, web-based tool that enables emergency planners to consider multiple evacuation plans at no additional cost to the user. Using this tool, we analyzed a simple scenario of the United States\u27 National Capital Region (NCR) to determine the impact of traffic incidents when different destination routes are blocked. The results indicate significant variations in evacuation duration when blockages are considered

Evaluation of software tools in performing advanced evacuation analyses for passenger ships

As safety regulations for passenger ship design continue to advance, so does the need for evacuation analysis tools to simulate the evacuation process. Currently the IMO requires an evacuation analysis for all new passenger ships in one of two ways: a simplified analysis or an advanced analysis. The simplified analysis takes a macroscopic view of the problem, treating the evacuees as particles in a fluid, flowing to their muster stations through corridors and doors as if they were pipes and valves. On the other hand, the advanced analysis takes a more microscopic approach, treating each evacuee as an individual with their own behaviour and decision making. However, as crowd simulation on passenger ships is a relatively young field of study, there is no clear consensus on the best way to perform this advanced analysis and therefore the guidelines are left more open ended. Consequently, there are several software suites that perform the analysis in different ways. This study aims to evaluate and better understand two different software packages, Evi and Pathfinder, which are capable of performing an advanced evacuation analysis. To do this, the same evacuation scenario on the same Main Vertical Zone (MVZ) of a RoPax ferry was simulated on both software in order to see how the differences in approaching the modelling affected both the numerical results and the user experience, including the time taken to build and run the analysis. These results were further compared with those obtained from a simplified analysis. Despite differences in how the reaction times were distributed, the total completion times measured were very similar, falling within the acceptance criteria set for this study. However, the user experience is where the largest differences between the two software became apparent. While Pathfinder had a more feature-rich toolset to build the geometry, the fact that Evi is purpose built to perform evacuation analyses of passenger ships is apparent in its preset IMO cases and batch running capabilities, providing a clear time advantage in performing the task

Guidelines for assessing pedestrian evacuation software applications

This paper serves to clearly identify and explain criteria to consider when evaluating the suitability of a pedestrian evacuation software application to assess the evacuation process of a building. Guidelines in the form of nine topic areas identify different modelling approaches adopted, as well as features / functionality provided by applications designed specifically for simulating the egress of pedestrians from inside a building. The paper concludes with a synopsis of these guidelines, identifying key questions (by topic area) to found an evaluation

Integrating Remote Sensing and Social Science - The correlation of urban morphology with socioeconomic parameters

The alignment, small-scale transitions and characteristics of buildings, streets and open spaces constitute a heterogeneous urban morphology. The urban morphology is the physical reflection of a society that created it, influenced by historical, social, cultural, economic, political, demographic and natural conditions as well as their developments. Within the complex urban environment homogeneous physical patterns and sectors of similar building types, structural alignments or similar built-up densities can be localized and classified. Accordingly, it is assumed that urban societies also feature a distinctive socioeconomic urban morphology that is strongly correlated with the characteristics of a city’s physical morphology: Social groups settle spatially with one’s peer more or less segregated from other social groups according to, amongst other things, their economic status. This study focuses on the analysis, whether the static physical urban morphology correlates with socioeconomic parameters of its inhabitants – here with the example indicators income and value of property. Therefore, the study explores on the capabilities of high resolution optical satellite data (Ikonos) to classify patterns of urban morphology based on physical parameters. In addition a household questionnaire was developed to investigate on the cities socioeconomic morphology