Macroscopic Noisy Bounded Confidence Models with Distributed Radical Opinions

In this article, we study the nonlinear Fokker-Planck (FP) equation that arises as a mean-field (macroscopic) approximation of bounded confidence opinion dynamics, where opinions are influenced by environmental noises and opinions of radicals (stubborn individuals). The distribution of radical opinions serves as an infinite-dimensional exogenous input to the FP equation, visibly influencing the steady opinion profile. We establish mathematical properties of the FP equation. In particular, we (i) show the well-posedness of the dynamic equation, (ii) provide existence result accompanied by a quantitative global estimate for the corresponding stationary solution, and (iii) establish an explicit lower bound on the noise level that guarantees exponential convergence of the dynamics to stationary state. Combining the results in (ii) and (iii) readily yields the input-output stability of the system for sufficiently large noises. Next, using Fourier analysis, the structure of opinion clusters under the uniform initial distribution is examined. Specifically, two numerical schemes for identification of order-disorder transition and characterization of initial clustering behavior are provided. The results of analysis are validated through several numerical simulations of the continuum-agent model (partial differential equation) and the corresponding discrete-agent model (interacting stochastic differential equations) for a particular distribution of radicals

On a Modified DeGroot-Friedkin Model of Opinion Dynamics

This paper studies the opinion dynamics that result when individuals consecutively discuss a sequence of issues. Specifically, we study how individuals' self-confidence levels evolve via a reflected appraisal mechanism. Motivated by the DeGroot-Friedkin model, we propose a Modified DeGroot-Friedkin model which allows individuals to update their self-confidence levels by only interacting with their neighbors and in particular, the modified model allows the update of self-confidence levels to take place in finite time without waiting for the opinion process to reach a consensus on any particular issue. We study properties of this Modified DeGroot-Friedkin model and compare the associated equilibria and stability with those of the original DeGroot-Friedkin model. Specifically, for the case when the interaction matrix is doubly stochastic, we show that for the modified model, the vector of individuals' self-confidence levels asymptotically converges to a unique nontrivial equilibrium which for each individual is equal to 1/n, where n is the number of individuals. This implies that eventually, individuals reach a democratic state

Consensus Convergence with Stochastic Effects

We consider a stochastic, continuous state and time opinion model where each agent's opinion locally interacts with other agents' opinions in the system, and there is also exogenous randomness. The interaction tends to create clusters of common opinion. By using linear stability analysis of the associated nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation that governs the empirical density of opinions in the limit of infinitely many agents, we can estimate the number of clusters, the time to cluster formation and the critical strength of randomness so as to have cluster formation. We also discuss the cluster dynamics after their formation, the width and the effective diffusivity of the clusters. Finally, the long term behavior of clusters is explored numerically. Extensive numerical simulations confirm our analytical findings.Comment: Dedication to Willi J\"{a}ger's 75th Birthda

Optimal control of the convergence time in the Hegselmann--Krause dynamics

We study the optimal control problem of minimizing the convergence time in the discrete Hegselmann--Krause model of opinion dynamics. The underlying model is extended with a set of strategic agents that can freely place their opinion at every time step. Indeed, if suitably coordinated, the strategic agents can significantly lower the convergence time of an instance of the Hegselmann--Krause model. We give several lower and upper worst-case bounds for the convergence time of a Hegselmann--Krause system with a given number of strategic agents, while still leaving some gaps for future research.Comment: 14 page

On symmetric continuum opinion dynamics

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of some common opinion dynamic models in a continuum of agents. We show that as long as the interactions among the agents are symmetric, the distribution of the agents' opinion converges. We also investigate whether convergence occurs in a stronger sense than merely in distribution, namely, whether the opinion of almost every agent converges. We show that while this is not the case in general, it becomes true under plausible assumptions on inter-agent interactions, namely that agents with similar opinions exert a non-negligible pull on each other, or that the interactions are entirely determined by their opinions via a smooth function.Comment: 28 pages, 2 figures, 3 file

Distributed Evaluation and Convergence of Self-Appraisals in Social Networks

We consider in this paper a networked system of opinion dynamics in continuous time, where the agents are able to evaluate their self-appraisals in a distributed way. In the model we formulate, the underlying network topology is described by a rooted digraph. For each ordered pair of agents $(i,j)$, we assign a function of self-appraisal to agent $i$, which measures the level of importance of agent $i$ to agent $j$. Thus, by communicating only with her neighbors, each agent is able to calculate the difference between her level of importance to others and others' level of importance to her. The dynamical system of self-appraisals is then designed to drive these differences to zero. We show that for almost all initial conditions, the trajectory generated by this dynamical system asymptotically converges to an equilibrium point which is exponentially stable