Next generation smart manufacturing and service systems using big data analytics

© 2018 Elsevier Ltd This special issue explores advancements in the next generation manufacturing and service systems by examining the novel methods, practical challenges and opportunities in the use of big data analytics. The selected articles analyse a range of scenarios where big data analytics and its applications were used for improving decision making in manufacturing and services sector such as online data analytics, sourcing decisions with considerations for big data analytics, barriers in the adoption of big data analytics, maintenance planning, and multi-sensor data for fault pattern extraction. The paper summarises the discussions on the use of big data analytics in manufacturing and service sectors

Machine Learning in Oil and Gas Exploration: A Review

A comprehensive assessment of machine learning applications is conducted to identify the developing trends for Artificial Intelligence (AI) applications in the oil and gas sector, specifically focusing on geological and geophysical exploration and reservoir characterization. Critical areas, such as seismic data processing, facies and lithofacies classification, and the prediction of essential petrophysical properties (e.g., porosity, permeability, and water saturation), are explored. Despite the vital role of these properties in resource assessment, accurate prediction remains challenging. This paper offers a detailed overview of machine learning’s involvement in seismic data processing, facies classification, and reservoir property prediction. It highlights its potential to address various oil and gas exploration challenges, including predictive modelling, classification, and clustering tasks. Furthermore, the review identifies unique barriers hindering the widespread application of machine learning in the exploration, including uncertainties in subsurface parameters, scale discrepancies, and handling temporal and spatial data complexity. It proposes potential solutions, identifies practices contributing to achieving optimal accuracy, and outlines future research directions, providing a nuanced understanding of the field’s dynamics. Adopting machine learning and robust data management methods is crucial for enhancing operational efficiency in an era marked by extensive data generation. While acknowledging the inherent limitations of these approaches, they surpass the constraints of traditional empirical and analytical methods, establishing themselves as versatile tools for addressing industrial challenges. This comprehensive review serves as an invaluable resource for researchers venturing into less-charted territories in this evolving field, offering valuable insights and guidance for future research

Lithofacies logging identification for strongly heterogeneous deep-buried reservoirs based on improved Bayesian inversion: The Lower Jurassic sandstone, Central Junggar Basin, China

The strong heterogeneity characteristics of deep-buried clastic low-permeability reservoirs may lead to great risks in hydrocarbon exploration and development, which makes the accurate identification of reservoir lithofacies crucial for improving the obtained exploration results. Due to the very limited core data acquired from deep drilling, lithofacies logging identification has become the most important method for comprehensively obtaining the rock information of deep-buried reservoirs and is a fundamental task for carrying out reservoir characterization and geological modeling. In this study, a machine learning method is introduced to lithofacies logging identification, to explore an accurate lithofacies identification method for deep fluvial-delta sandstone reservoirs with frequent lithofacies changes. Here Sangonghe Formation in the Central Junggar Basin of China is taken as an example. The K-means-based synthetic minority oversampling technique (K-means SMOTE) is employed to solve the problem regarding the imbalanced lithofacies data categories used to calibrate logging data, and a probabilistic calibration method is introduced to correct the likelihood function. To address the situation in which traditional machine learning methods ignore the geological deposition process, we introduce a depositional prior for controlling the vertical spreading process based on a Markov chain and propose an improved Bayesian inversion process for training on the log data to identify lithofacies. The results of a series of experiments show that, compared with the traditional machine learning method, the new method improves the recognition accuracy by 20%, and the predicted petrographic vertical distribution results are consistent with geological constraints. In addition, SMOTE and probabilistic calibration can effectively handle data imbalance problems so that different categories can be adequately learned. Also the introduction of geological prior has a positive impact on the overall distribution, which significantly improves the accuracy and recall rate of the method. According to this comprehensive analysis, the proposed method greatly enhanced the identification of the lithofacies distributions in the Sangonghe Formation. Therefore, this method can provide a tool for logging lithofacies interpretation of deep and strongly heterogeneous clastic reservoirs in fluvial-delta and other depositional environments

Production Data Analysis by Machine Learning

In this dissertation, I will present my research work on two different topics. The first topic is production data analysis of low-permeability well. The second topic is a quantitative evaluation of key completion controls on shale oil production. In Topic 1, I propose and investigate two novel methodologies that can be applied to improve the results of low-permeability well decline curve analysis. Specifically, I first proposed an iterative two-stage optimization algorithm for decline curve parameter estimation on the basis of two-segment hyperbolic model. This algorithm can be applied to find optimal parameter results from the production history data. By making use of a useful relation that exits between material balance time (MBT) and the original production profile, we propose a three-step diagnostic approach for the preliminary analysis of production history data, which can effectively assist us in identifying fluid flow regimes and increase our confidence in the estimation of decline curve parameters. The second approach is a data-driven method for primary phase production forecasting. Functional principal component analysis (fPCA) is applied to extract key features of production decline patterns on basis of multiple wells with sufficiently long production histories. A predictive model is then built using principal component functions obtained from the training production data set. Finally, we make predictions for the test wells to assess the quality of prediction with reference to true production data. Both methods are validated using field data and the accuracy of production forecasts gives us confidence in the new approaches. In Topic 2, generalized additive model (GAM) is applied to investigate possibly nonlinear associations between production and key completion parameters (e.g., completed lateral length, proppant volume per stage, fluid volume per stage) while accounting for the influence of different geological environments on hydrocarbon production. The geological cofounding effect is treated as a random clustered effect and incorporated in the GAM model by means of a state-of-the-art statistical machine learning method graphic fused LASSO. We provide several key findings on the relation between completion parameters and hydrocarbon production, which provide guidance in the development of efficient completion practices

Production Data Analysis by Machine Learning

In this dissertation, I will present my research work on two different topics. The first topic is production data analysis of low-permeability well. The second topic is a quantitative evaluation of key completion controls on shale oil production. In Topic 1, I propose and investigate two novel methodologies that can be applied to improve the results of low-permeability well decline curve analysis. Specifically, I first proposed an iterative two-stage optimization algorithm for decline curve parameter estimation on the basis of two-segment hyperbolic model. This algorithm can be applied to find optimal parameter results from the production history data. By making use of a useful relation that exits between material balance time (MBT) and the original production profile, we propose a three-step diagnostic approach for the preliminary analysis of production history data, which can effectively assist us in identifying fluid flow regimes and increase our confidence in the estimation of decline curve parameters. The second approach is a data-driven method for primary phase production forecasting. Functional principal component analysis (fPCA) is applied to extract key features of production decline patterns on basis of multiple wells with sufficiently long production histories. A predictive model is then built using principal component functions obtained from the training production data set. Finally, we make predictions for the test wells to assess the quality of prediction with reference to true production data. Both methods are validated using field data and the accuracy of production forecasts gives us confidence in the new approaches. In Topic 2, generalized additive model (GAM) is applied to investigate possibly nonlinear associations between production and key completion parameters (e.g., completed lateral length, proppant volume per stage, fluid volume per stage) while accounting for the influence of different geological environments on hydrocarbon production. The geological cofounding effect is treated as a random clustered effect and incorporated in the GAM model by means of a state-of-the-art statistical machine learning method graphic fused LASSO. We provide several key findings on the relation between completion parameters and hydrocarbon production, which provide guidance in the development of efficient completion practices

Uncertainty and Explainable Analysis of Machine Learning Model for Reconstruction of Sonic Slowness Logs

Logs are valuable information for oil and gas fields as they help to determine the lithology of the formations surrounding the borehole and the location and reserves of subsurface oil and gas reservoirs. However, important logs are often missing in horizontal or old wells, which poses a challenge in field applications. In this paper, we utilize data from the 2020 machine learning competition of the SPWLA, which aims to predict the missing compressional wave slowness and shear wave slowness logs using other logs in the same borehole. We employ the NGBoost algorithm to construct an Ensemble Learning model that can predicate the results as well as their uncertainty. Furthermore, we combine the SHAP method to investigate the interpretability of the machine learning model. We compare the performance of the NGBosst model with four other commonly used Ensemble Learning methods, including Random Forest, GBDT, XGBoost, LightGBM. The results show that the NGBoost model performs well in the testing set and can provide a probability distribution for the prediction results. In addition, the variance of the probability distribution of the predicted log can be used to justify the quality of the constructed log. Using the SHAP explainable machine learning model, we calculate the importance of each input log to the predicted results as well as the coupling relationship among input logs. Our findings reveal that the NGBoost model tends to provide greater slowness prediction results when the neutron porosity and gamma ray are large, which is consistent with the cognition of petrophysical models. Furthermore, the machine learning model can capture the influence of the changing borehole caliper on slowness, where the influence of borehole caliper on slowness is complex and not easy to establish a direct relationship. These findings are in line with the physical principle of borehole acoustics

Data-Driven Modeling and Prediction for Reservoir Characterization and Simulation Using Seismic and Petrophysical Data Analyses

This study explores the application of data-driven modeling and prediction in reservoir characterization and simulation using seismic and petrophysical data analyses. Different aspects of the application of data-driven modeling methods are studied, which include rock facies classification, seismic attribute analyses, petrophysical properties prediction, seismic facies segmentation, and reservoir dimension reduction. The application of using petrophysical well logs to predict rock facies is explored using different data analytics methods including decision tree, random forest, support vector machine and neural network. Different models are trained from a set of well logs and pre-interpreted rock facies data. Among the compared methods, the random forest method has the best performance in classifying rock facies in the dataset. Seismic attribute values from a 3D seismic survey and petrophysical properties from well logs are collected to explore the relationships between seismic data and well logs. In this study, deep learning neural network models are created to establish the relationships. The results show that a deep learning neural network model with multi-hidden layers is capable to predict porosity values using extracted seismic attribute values. The utilization of a set of seismic attributes improves the model performance in predicting porosity values from seismic data. This study also presents a novel deep learning approach to automatically identify salt bodies directly from seismic images. A wavelet convolutional neural network (Wavelet CNN) model, which combines wavelet transformation analyses with a traditional convolutional neural network (CNN), is developed and demonstrated to increase the accuracy in predicting salt boundaries from seismic images. The Wavelet CNN model outperforms the conventional image recognition techniques, providing higher accuracy, to identify salt bodies from seismic images. Besides, this study evaluates the effect of singular value decomposition (SVD) in dimension reduction of permeability fields during reservoir modeling. Reservoir simulation results show that SVD is valid in the parameterization of the permeability field. The reconstructed permeability fields after SVD processing are good approximations of the original permeability values. This study also evaluates the application of SVD on upscaling for reservoir modeling. Different upscaling schemes are applied on the permeability field, and their performance are evaluated using reservoir simulation

Big data characteristics (V’s) in industry

In the new digital age, Data is the collection of the observation and facts in terms of events, thus data is continuously growing, getting denser and more varied by the minute across multiple channels. Nowadays, consumers generate mass amounts of data on a daily basis. Hence, Big Data (BD) emerged and is evolving rapidly, the various types of data being processed are huge, and ensuring that this data is being used efficiently is becoming increasingly more difficult. BD has been differentiated into several characteristics (the V’s) and many researchers have been developing more characteristics for new purposes over the past years. Therefore, it is shown from observation that there is a clear gap between researchers about the current status of the BD characteristics. Even after the introduction of newer characteristics, many papers are still proposing the use of 3 or 5 V’s, while some researchers are far more progressed and has reached up to 10V’s. This paper will provide an overview of the main characteristics that have been added over time and investigate the recent growth of Big Data Analytics (BDA) characteristics in each industry sector which will provide some detailed and general scope for most researchers to consider and learn from

Evaluation of CO2 storage potential in offshore strata, mid-south Atlantic: Southeast Offshore Storage Resource Assessment (SOSRA)

Subsurface geological storage of CO2 has the potential to significantly offset greenhouse gas emissions for safe, economic, and acceptable public use of fossil fuels. Due to legal advantages and vast resource capacity, offshore CO2 storage provides an attractive alternative to onshore options. Although offshore Lower Cretaceous and Upper Jurassic reservoirs have a vast expected storage capacity, quantitative assessment of the offshore storage resource in the southeastern United States is limited. This work is a part of the Southeast Offshore Storage Resource Assessment (SOSRA) project, which presents quantitative evaluation of a high-quality potential geological repository for CO2 in the Mid- and South Atlantic Planning Areas. This is the first comprehensive investigation and quantitative assessment of CO2 storage potential for the outer continental shelf within the Lower Cretaceous and Upper Jurassic rocks, including the Southeast Georgia Embayment and most of the Blake Plateau. An interpretation of 200,000 km of legacy industrial 2D seismic reflection profiles and geophysical well logs (TRANSCO 1005-1, COST GE-1, and EXXON 564-1) are utilized to create structure and thickness maps for the potential reservoirs and seals. Three target reservoirs isolated by seals based on their effective porosity values are identified and assessed. A quantitative evaluation of CO2 Storage Potential in the Offshore Atlantic Lower Cretaceous and Upper Jurassic Strata is calculated using the DOE-NETL equation for saline formations. The prospective storage resources evaluation ranges between 450 and 4700 Mt of CO2 within the Lower Cretaceous and between 500 and 5710 Mt within the Upper Jurassic sandstone rocks at P10 to P90. The efficiency factor of the dolomite ranges from 0.64 to 5.36 percent at P10 to P90 for the formation scale. Facies classification of five offshore wells in the Southeast Georgia Embayment was applied to the Machine Learning approach using Support Vector Classifier (SVC) and Random Forest Classifier (RFC). As a result, the SVC and RFC algorithms were compared to evaluate facies classification accuracy; the RFC had the most accurate and effectively used outcomes to classify lithofacies. The Machine Learning approach resulted in reliable and accurate values of predicted facies classification to improve CO2 storage estimation

Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Computing

Artificial intelligence (AI) is a subject garnering increasing attention in both academia and the industry today. The understanding is that AI-enhanced methods and techniques create a variety of opportunities related to improving basic and advanced business functions, including production processes, logistics, financial management and others. As this collection demonstrates, AI-enhanced tools and methods tend to offer more precise results in the fields of engineering, financial accounting, tourism, air-pollution management and many more. The objective of this collection is to bring these topics together to offer the reader a useful primer on how AI-enhanced tools and applications can be of use in today’s world. In the context of the frequently fearful, skeptical and emotion-laden debates on AI and its value added, this volume promotes a positive perspective on AI and its impact on society. AI is a part of a broader ecosystem of sophisticated tools, techniques and technologies, and therefore, it is not immune to developments in that ecosystem. It is thus imperative that inter- and multidisciplinary research on AI and its ecosystem is encouraged. This collection contributes to that