5,711 research outputs found
On the Convexity of Latent Social Network Inference
In many real-world scenarios, it is nearly impossible to collect explicit
social network data. In such cases, whole networks must be inferred from
underlying observations. Here, we formulate the problem of inferring latent
social networks based on network diffusion or disease propagation data. We
consider contagions propagating over the edges of an unobserved social network,
where we only observe the times when nodes became infected, but not who
infected them. Given such node infection times, we then identify the optimal
network that best explains the observed data. We present a maximum likelihood
approach based on convex programming with a l1-like penalty term that
encourages sparsity. Experiments on real and synthetic data reveal that our
method near-perfectly recovers the underlying network structure as well as the
parameters of the contagion propagation model. Moreover, our approach scales
well as it can infer optimal networks of thousands of nodes in a matter of
minutes.Comment: NIPS, 201
Latent Self-Exciting Point Process Model for Spatial-Temporal Networks
We propose a latent self-exciting point process model that describes
geographically distributed interactions between pairs of entities. In contrast
to most existing approaches that assume fully observable interactions, here we
consider a scenario where certain interaction events lack information about
participants. Instead, this information needs to be inferred from the available
observations. We develop an efficient approximate algorithm based on
variational expectation-maximization to infer unknown participants in an event
given the location and the time of the event. We validate the model on
synthetic as well as real-world data, and obtain very promising results on the
identity-inference task. We also use our model to predict the timing and
participants of future events, and demonstrate that it compares favorably with
baseline approaches.Comment: 20 pages, 6 figures (v3); 11 pages, 6 figures (v2); previous version
appeared in the 9th Bayesian Modeling Applications Workshop, UAI'1
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