9 research outputs found
Modeling Heterogeneous Relations across Multiple Modes for Potential Crowd Flow Prediction
Potential crowd flow prediction for new planned transportation sites is a
fundamental task for urban planners and administrators. Intuitively, the
potential crowd flow of the new coming site can be implied by exploring the
nearby sites. However, the transportation modes of nearby sites (e.g. bus
stations, bicycle stations) might be different from the target site (e.g.
subway station), which results in severe data scarcity issues. To this end, we
propose a data driven approach, named MOHER, to predict the potential crowd
flow in a certain mode for a new planned site. Specifically, we first identify
the neighbor regions of the target site by examining the geographical proximity
as well as the urban function similarity. Then, to aggregate these
heterogeneous relations, we devise a cross-mode relational GCN, a novel
relation-specific transformation model, which can learn not only the
correlations but also the differences between different transportation modes.
Afterward, we design an aggregator for inductive potential flow representation.
Finally, an LTSM module is used for sequential flow prediction. Extensive
experiments on real-world data sets demonstrate the superiority of the MOHER
framework compared with the state-of-the-art algorithms.Comment: Accepted by the 35th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI
2021
DeepSTN+: Context-Aware Spatial-Temporal Neural Network for Crowd Flow Prediction in Metropolis
Crowd flow prediction is of great importance in a wide range of applications from urban planning, traffic control to public safety. It aims to predict the inflow (the traffic of crowds entering a region in a given time interval) and outflow (the traffic of crowds leaving a region for other places) of each region in the city with knowing the historical flow data. In this paper, we propose DeepSTN+, a deep learning-based convolutional model, to predict crowd flows in the metropolis. First, DeepSTN+ employs the ConvPlus structure to model the longrange spatial dependence among crowd flows in different regions. Further, PoI distributions and time factor are combined to express the effect of location attributes to introduce prior knowledge of the crowd movements. Finally, we propose an effective fusion mechanism to stabilize the training process, which further improves the performance. Extensive experimental results based on two real-life datasets demonstrate the superiority of our model, i.e., DeepSTN+ reduces the error of the crowd flow prediction by approximately 8%∼13% compared with the state-of-the-art baselines