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Building thermal load prediction through shallow machine learning and deep learning
Building thermal load prediction informs the optimization of cooling plant and thermal energy storage. Physics-based prediction models of building thermal load are constrained by the model and input complexity. In this study, we developed 12 data-driven models (7 shallow learning, 2 deep learning, and 3 heuristic methods) to predict building thermal load and compared shallow machine learning and deep learning. The 12 prediction models were compared with the measured cooling demand. It was found XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boost) and LSTM (Long Short Term Memory) provided the most accurate load prediction in the shallow and deep learning category, and both outperformed the best baseline model, which uses the previous day's data for prediction. Then, we discussed how the prediction horizon and input uncertainty would influence the load prediction accuracy. Major conclusions are twofold: first, LSTM performs well in short-term prediction (1 h ahead) but not in long term prediction (24 h ahead), because the sequential information becomes less relevant and accordingly not so useful when the prediction horizon is long. Second, the presence of weather forecast uncertainty deteriorates XGBoost's accuracy and favors LSTM, because the sequential information makes the model more robust to input uncertainty. Training the model with the uncertain rather than accurate weather data could enhance the model's robustness. Our findings have two implications for practice. First, LSTM is recommended for short-term load prediction given that weather forecast uncertainty is unavoidable. Second, XGBoost is recommended for long term prediction, and the model should be trained with the presence of input uncertainty
Stacked Auto Encoder Based Deep Reinforcement Learning for Online Resource Scheduling in Large-Scale MEC Networks
An online resource scheduling framework is proposed for minimizing the sum of weighted task latency for all the Internet-of-Things (IoT) users, by optimizing offloading decision, transmission power, and resource allocation in the large-scale mobile-edge computing (MEC) system. Toward this end, a deep reinforcement learning (DRL)-based solution is proposed, which includes the following components. First, a related and regularized stacked autoencoder (2r-SAE) with unsupervised learning is applied to perform data compression and representation for high-dimensional channel quality information (CQI) data, which can reduce the state space for DRL. Second, we present an adaptive simulated annealing approach (ASA) as the action search method of DRL, in which an adaptive h -mutation is used to guide the search direction and an adaptive iteration is proposed to enhance the search efficiency during the DRL process. Third, a preserved and prioritized experience replay (2p-ER) is introduced to assist the DRL to train the policy network and find the optimal offloading policy. The numerical results are provided to demonstrate that the proposed algorithm can achieve near-optimal performance while significantly decreasing the computational time compared with existing benchmarks
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