17,123 research outputs found
Robot Introspection with Bayesian Nonparametric Vector Autoregressive Hidden Markov Models
Robot introspection, as opposed to anomaly detection typical in process
monitoring, helps a robot understand what it is doing at all times. A robot
should be able to identify its actions not only when failure or novelty occurs,
but also as it executes any number of sub-tasks. As robots continue their quest
of functioning in unstructured environments, it is imperative they understand
what is it that they are actually doing to render them more robust. This work
investigates the modeling ability of Bayesian nonparametric techniques on
Markov Switching Process to learn complex dynamics typical in robot contact
tasks. We study whether the Markov switching process, together with Bayesian
priors can outperform the modeling ability of its counterparts: an HMM with
Bayesian priors and without. The work was tested in a snap assembly task
characterized by high elastic forces. The task consists of an insertion subtask
with very complex dynamics. Our approach showed a stronger ability to
generalize and was able to better model the subtask with complex dynamics in a
computationally efficient way. The modeling technique is also used to learn a
growing library of robot skills, one that when integrated with low-level
control allows for robot online decision making.Comment: final version submitted to humanoids 201
Data Improving in Time Series Using ARX and ANN Models
Anomalous data can negatively impact energy forecasting by causing model parameters to be incorrectly estimated. This paper presents two approaches for the detection and imputation of anomalies in time series data. Autoregressive with exogenous inputs (ARX) and artificial neural network (ANN) models are used to extract the characteristics of time series. Anomalies are detected by performing hypothesis testing on the extrema of the residuals, and the anomalous data points are imputed using the ARX and ANN models. Because the anomalies affect the model coefficients, the data cleaning process is performed iteratively. The models are re-learned on “cleaner” data after an anomaly is imputed. The anomalous data are reimputed to each iteration using the updated ARX and ANN models. The ARX and ANN data cleaning models are evaluated on natural gas time series data. This paper demonstrates that the proposed approaches are able to identify and impute anomalous data points. Forecasting models learned on the unclean data and the cleaned data are tested on an uncleaned out-of-sample dataset. The forecasting model learned on the cleaned data outperforms the model learned on the unclean data with 1.67% improvement in the mean absolute percentage errors and a 32.8% improvement in the root mean squared error. Existing challenges include correctly identifying specific types of anomalies such as negative flows
Generative Image Modeling Using Spatial LSTMs
Modeling the distribution of natural images is challenging, partly because of
strong statistical dependencies which can extend over hundreds of pixels.
Recurrent neural networks have been successful in capturing long-range
dependencies in a number of problems but only recently have found their way
into generative image models. We here introduce a recurrent image model based
on multi-dimensional long short-term memory units which are particularly suited
for image modeling due to their spatial structure. Our model scales to images
of arbitrary size and its likelihood is computationally tractable. We find that
it outperforms the state of the art in quantitative comparisons on several
image datasets and produces promising results when used for texture synthesis
and inpainting
Fast, Robust, and Versatile Event Detection through HMM Belief State Gradient Measures
Event detection is a critical feature in data-driven systems as it assists
with the identification of nominal and anomalous behavior. Event detection is
increasingly relevant in robotics as robots operate with greater autonomy in
increasingly unstructured environments. In this work, we present an accurate,
robust, fast, and versatile measure for skill and anomaly identification. A
theoretical proof establishes the link between the derivative of the
log-likelihood of the HMM filtered belief state and the latest emission
probabilities. The key insight is the inverse relationship in which gradient
analysis is used for skill and anomaly identification. Our measure showed
better performance across all metrics than related state-of-the art works. The
result is broadly applicable to domains that use HMMs for event detection.Comment: 8 pages, 7 figures, double col, ieee conference forma
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