Dynamical evolution of clustering in complex network of earthquakes

The network approach plays a distinguished role in contemporary science of complex systems/phenomena. Such an approach has been introduced into seismology in a recent work [S. Abe and N. Suzuki, Europhys. Lett. 65, 581 (2004)]. Here, we discuss the dynamical property of the earthquake network constructed in California and report the discovery that the values of the clustering coefficient remain stationary before main shocks, suddenly jump up at the main shocks, and then slowly decay following a power law to become stationary again. Thus, the network approach is found to characterize main shocks in a peculiar manner.Comment: 10 pages, 3 figures, 1 tabl

Network of Earthquakes and Recurrences Therein

We quantify the correlation between earthquakes and use the same to distinguish between relevant causally connected earthquakes. Our correlation metric is a variation on the one introduced by Baiesi and Paczuski (2004). A network of earthquakes is constructed, which is time ordered and with links between the more correlated ones. Data pertaining to the California region has been used in the study. Recurrences to earthquakes are identified employing correlation thresholds to demarcate the most meaningful ones in each cluster. The distribution of recurrence lengths and recurrence times are analyzed subsequently to extract information about the complex dynamics. We find that the unimodal feature of recurrence lengths helps to associate typical rupture lengths with different magnitude earthquakes. The out-degree of the network shows a hub structure rooted on the large magnitude earthquakes. In-degree distribution is seen to be dependent on the density of events in the neighborhood. Power laws are also obtained with recurrence time distribution agreeing with the Omori law.Comment: 17 pages, 5 figure

Scale-Free Network of Earthquakes

The district of southern California and Japan are divided into small cubic cells, each of which is regarded as a vertex of a graph if earthquakes occur therein. Two successive earthquakes define an edge and a loop, which replace the complex fault-fault interaction. In this way, the seismic data are mapped to a random graph. It is discovered that an evolving random graph associated with earthquakes behaves as a scale-free network of the Barabasi-Albert type. The distributions of connectivities in the graphs thus constructed are found to decay as a power law, showing a novel feature of earthquake as a complex critical phenomenon. This result can be interpreted in view of the facts that frequency of earthquakes with large values of moment also decays as a power law (the Gutenberg-Richter law) and aftershocks associated with a mainshock tend to return to the locus of the mainshock, contributing to the large degree of connectivity of the vertex of the mainshock. It is also found that the exponent of the distribution of connectivities is characteristic for a plate under investigation.Comment: 14 pages, 3 figures, substantial modification

An improved glimpse into earthquake activity in northeastern Alaska

The northeastern Brooks Range is long known to be seismically active, but meaningful analysis of the earthquake activity has been limited by the lack of instrumentation. The seismic record in the area dates back to the mid-1970s, and shows a broad northeast-trending zone of earthquake activity. Improvements made in the past 20 years to the permanent seismic network along with new data collected by the temporary USArray network of seismometers located throughout northeastern Alaska have dramatically lowered the earthquake detection threshold in the area. It is now possible to identify patterns within the earthquake data including spatial distribution and occurrence rates, which indicate the presence of previously unrecognized active fault systems. I highlight several such features within the data: a 110 km (60 mi) line of recurring earthquakes near the village of Beaver that strongly suggest a singular fault system; a cluster of earthquakes near the village of Venetie that are likely occurring on a complex active fault system; a years-long mainshock-aftershock sequence of earthquakes near the Draanjik River that began in 2006; and two swarms separated by 50 km (30 mi) in distance and 7 years near the Hulahula River.Ye

The Network of Epicenters of the Olami-Feder-Christensen Model of Earthquakes

We study the dynamics of the Olami-Feder-Christensen (OFC) model of earthquakes, focusing on the behavior of sequences of epicenters regarded as a growing complex network. Besides making a detailed and quantitative study of the effects of the borders (the occurrence of epicenters is dominated by a strong border effect which does not scale with system size), we examine the degree distribution and the degree correlation of the graph. We detect sharp differences between the conservative and nonconservative regimes of the model. Removing border effects, the conservative regime exhibits a Poisson-like degree statistics and is uncorrelated, while the nonconservative has a broad power-law-like distribution of degrees (if the smallest events are ignored), which reproduces the observed behavior of real earthquakes. In this regime the graph has also a unusually strong degree correlation among the vertices with higher degree, which is the result of the existence of temporary attractors for the dynamics: as the system evolves, the epicenters concentrate increasingly on fewer sites, exhibiting strong synchronization, but eventually spread again over the lattice after a series of sufficiently large earthquakes. We propose an analytical description of the dynamics of this growing network, considering a Markov process network with hidden variables, which is able to account for the mentioned properties.Comment: 9 pages, 10 figures. Smaller number of figures, and minor text corrections and modifications. For version with full resolution images see http://fig.if.usp.br/~tpeixoto/cond-mat-0602244.pd

Earthquake networks based on similar activity patterns

Earthquakes are a complex spatiotemporal phenomenon, the underlying mechanism for which is still not fully understood despite decades of research and analysis. We propose and develop a network approach to earthquake events. In this network, a node represents a spatial location while a link between two nodes represents similar activity patterns in the two different locations. The strength of a link is proportional to the strength of the cross-correlation in activities of two nodes joined by the link. We apply our network approach to a Japanese earthquake catalog spanning the 14-year period 1985-1998. We find strong links representing large correlations between patterns in locations separated by more than 1000 km, corroborating prior observations that earthquake interactions have no characteristic length scale. We find network characteristics not attributable to chance alone, including a large number of network links, high node assortativity, and strong stability over time.Comment: 8 pages text, 9 figures. Updated from previous versio

Networks as Renormalized Models for Emergent Behavior in Physical Systems

Networks are paradigms for describing complex biological, social and technological systems. Here I argue that networks provide a coherent framework to construct coarse-grained models for many different physical systems. To elucidate these ideas, I discuss two long-standing problems. The first concerns the structure and dynamics of magnetic fields in the solar corona, as exemplified by sunspots that startled Galileo almost 400 years ago. We discovered that the magnetic structure of the corona embodies a scale free network, with spots at all scales. A network model representing the three-dimensional geometry of magnetic fields, where links rewire and nodes merge when they collide in space, gives quantitative agreement with available data, and suggests new measurements. Seismicity is addressed in terms of relations between events without imposing space-time windows. A metric estimates the correlation between any two earthquakes. Linking strongly correlated pairs, and ignoring pairs with weak correlation organizes the spatio-temporal process into a sparse, directed, weighted network. New scaling laws for seismicity are found. For instance, the aftershock decay rate decreases as 1/t in time up to a correlation time, t[omori]. An estimate from the data gives t[omori] to be about one year for small magnitude 3 earthquakes, about 1400 years for the Landers event, and roughly 26,000 years for the earthquake causing the 2004 Asian tsunami. Our results confirm Kagan's conjecture that aftershocks can rumble on for centuries.Comment: For the Proceedings of the Erice workshop on Complexity, Metastability and Nonextensivity (2004), 12 page

Complex networks of earthquakes and aftershocks

We invoke a metric to quantify the correlation between any two earthquakes. This provides a simple and straightforward alternative to using space-time windows to detect aftershock sequences and obviates the need to distinguish main shocks from aftershocks. Directed networks of earthquakes are constructed by placing a link, directed from the past to the future, between pairs of events that are strongly correlated. Each link has a weight giving the relative strength of correlation such that the sum over the incoming links to any node equals unity for aftershocks, or zero if the event had no correlated predecessors. A correlation threshold is set to drastically reduce the size of the data set without losing significant information. Events can be aftershocks of many previous events, and also generate many aftershocks. The probability distribution for the number of incoming and outgoing links are both scale free, and the networks are highly clustered. The Omori law holds for aftershock rates up to a decorrelation time that scales with the magnitude, $m$, of the initiating shock as $t_{\rm cutoff} \sim 10^{\beta m}$ with $\beta \simeq 3/4$. Another scaling law relates distances between earthquakes and their aftershocks to the magnitude of the initiating shock. Our results are inconsistent with the hypothesis of finite aftershock zones. We also find evidence that seismicity is dominantly triggered by small earthquakes. Our approach, using concepts from the modern theory of complex networks, together with a metric to estimate correlations, opens up new avenues of research, as well as new tools to understand seismicity.Comment: 12 pages, 12 figures, revtex