5,108 research outputs found
Human Motion Trajectory Prediction: A Survey
With growing numbers of intelligent autonomous systems in human environments,
the ability of such systems to perceive, understand and anticipate human
behavior becomes increasingly important. Specifically, predicting future
positions of dynamic agents and planning considering such predictions are key
tasks for self-driving vehicles, service robots and advanced surveillance
systems. This paper provides a survey of human motion trajectory prediction. We
review, analyze and structure a large selection of work from different
communities and propose a taxonomy that categorizes existing methods based on
the motion modeling approach and level of contextual information used. We
provide an overview of the existing datasets and performance metrics. We
discuss limitations of the state of the art and outline directions for further
research.Comment: Submitted to the International Journal of Robotics Research (IJRR),
37 page
Towards Social Autonomous Vehicles: Efficient Collision Avoidance Scheme Using Richardson's Arms Race Model
Background Road collisions and casualties pose a serious threat to commuters
around the globe. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) aim to make the use of technology
to reduce the road accidents. However, the most of research work in the context
of collision avoidance has been performed to address, separately, the rear end,
front end and lateral collisions in less congested and with high
inter-vehicular distances. Purpose The goal of this paper is to introduce the
concept of a social agent, which interact with other AVs in social manners like
humans are social having the capability of predicting intentions, i.e.
mentalizing and copying the actions of each other, i.e. mirroring. The proposed
social agent is based on a human-brain inspired mentalizing and mirroring
capabilities and has been modelled for collision detection and avoidance under
congested urban road traffic.
Method We designed our social agent having the capabilities of mentalizing
and mirroring and for this purpose we utilized Exploratory Agent Based Modeling
(EABM) level of Cognitive Agent Based Computing (CABC) framework proposed by
Niazi and Hussain.
Results Our simulation and practical experiments reveal that by embedding
Richardson's arms race model within AVs, collisions can be avoided while
travelling on congested urban roads in a flock like topologies. The performance
of the proposed social agent has been compared at two different levels.Comment: 48 pages, 21 figure
High-Resolution Road Vehicle Collision Prediction for the City of Montreal
Road accidents are an important issue of our modern societies, responsible
for millions of deaths and injuries every year in the world. In Quebec only, in
2018, road accidents are responsible for 359 deaths and 33 thousands of
injuries. In this paper, we show how one can leverage open datasets of a city
like Montreal, Canada, to create high-resolution accident prediction models,
using big data analytics. Compared to other studies in road accident
prediction, we have a much higher prediction resolution, i.e., our models
predict the occurrence of an accident within an hour, on road segments defined
by intersections. Such models could be used in the context of road accident
prevention, but also to identify key factors that can lead to a road accident,
and consequently, help elaborate new policies.
We tested various machine learning methods to deal with the severe class
imbalance inherent to accident prediction problems. In particular, we
implemented the Balanced Random Forest algorithm, a variant of the Random
Forest machine learning algorithm in Apache Spark. Interestingly, we found that
in our case, Balanced Random Forest does not perform significantly better than
Random Forest.
Experimental results show that 85% of road vehicle collisions are detected by
our model with a false positive rate of 13%. The examples identified as
positive are likely to correspond to high-risk situations. In addition, we
identify the most important predictors of vehicle collisions for the area of
Montreal: the count of accidents on the same road segment during previous
years, the temperature, the day of the year, the hour and the visibility
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