Boosting the accuracy of hedonic pricing models

Hedonic pricing models attempt to model a relationship between object attributes andthe object's price. Traditional hedonic pricing models are often parametric models that sufferfrom misspecification. In this paper we create these models by means of boosted CARTmodels. The method is explained in detail and applied to various datasets. Empirically,we find substantial reduction of errors on out-of-sample data for two out of three datasetscompared with a stepwise linear regression model. We interpret the boosted models by partialdependence plots and relative importance plots. This reveals some interesting nonlinearitiesand differences in attribute importance across the model types.pricing;marketing;data mining;conjoint analysis;ensemble learning;gradient boosting;hedonic pricing

TreeGrad: Transferring Tree Ensembles to Neural Networks

Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) are popular machine learning algorithms with implementations such as LightGBM and in popular machine learning toolkits like Scikit-Learn. Many implementations can only produce trees in an offline manner and in a greedy manner. We explore ways to convert existing GBDT implementations to known neural network architectures with minimal performance loss in order to allow decision splits to be updated in an online manner and provide extensions to allow splits points to be altered as a neural architecture search problem. We provide learning bounds for our neural network.Comment: Technical Report on Implementation of Deep Neural Decision Forests Algorithm. To accompany implementation here: https://github.com/chappers/TreeGrad. Update: Please cite as: Siu, C. (2019). "Transferring Tree Ensembles to Neural Networks". International Conference on Neural Information Processing. Springer, 2019. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1909.1179

Vote-boosting ensembles

Vote-boosting is a sequential ensemble learning method in which the individual classifiers are built on different weighted versions of the training data. To build a new classifier, the weight of each training instance is determined in terms of the degree of disagreement among the current ensemble predictions for that instance. For low class-label noise levels, especially when simple base learners are used, emphasis should be made on instances for which the disagreement rate is high. When more flexible classifiers are used and as the noise level increases, the emphasis on these uncertain instances should be reduced. In fact, at sufficiently high levels of class-label noise, the focus should be on instances on which the ensemble classifiers agree. The optimal type of emphasis can be automatically determined using cross-validation. An extensive empirical analysis using the beta distribution as emphasis function illustrates that vote-boosting is an effective method to generate ensembles that are both accurate and robust

Totally Corrective Multiclass Boosting with Binary Weak Learners

In this work, we propose a new optimization framework for multiclass boosting learning. In the literature, AdaBoost.MO and AdaBoost.ECC are the two successful multiclass boosting algorithms, which can use binary weak learners. We explicitly derive these two algorithms' Lagrange dual problems based on their regularized loss functions. We show that the Lagrange dual formulations enable us to design totally-corrective multiclass algorithms by using the primal-dual optimization technique. Experiments on benchmark data sets suggest that our multiclass boosting can achieve a comparable generalization capability with state-of-the-art, but the convergence speed is much faster than stage-wise gradient descent boosting. In other words, the new totally corrective algorithms can maximize the margin more aggressively.Comment: 11 page