17 research outputs found

    Resource Schedule of Concrete Fish Pond Construction Using Network Analysis

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    In the construction of building, preparation of bid, maintenance and planning of oil refinery and preparation for agricultural activities, there is a need to know the completion days of the project without delay and the earliest time and the latest time for which each activity will take. It was based on this that we decide to analyze the construction of concrete fish pond using Network Analysis through the use of Critical Path Method (CPM) and Program Evaluation Review Technique (PERT). Sixty-four days was arrived at for the completion of the construction using CPM while sixty-eight days with 99% probability was arrived at using PERT method. In deciding which of the method is best suitable for the construction of the fish pond, PERT serve as the best method due to the fact that it considers the Pessimistic Time (longest time possible and can be seen as usual delay) and Optimistic Time (shortest time possible if things go perfectly) as well as the probability [which is 99%] of completing the task within a specific time. The result established some useful facts for researchers in this area as well as managers of industry in carrying out their study from the feasibility stage to the other stages so as to have a good practical target towards the completion of the project as planned. Keyword: Network Analysis, Critical Path Method, Program Evaluation Review Technique, Pessimistic Time, Optimistic Time and Probability DOI: 10.7176/JMCR/57-04 Publication date:June 30th 201

    Fernando Álvaro Ostuni Gauthier

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    Evolutionary computing for routing and scheduling applications

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    Ph.DDOCTOR OF PHILOSOPH

    Probabilistic modelling of oil rig drilling operations for business decision support: a real world application of Bayesian networks and computational intelligence.

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    This work investigates the use of evolved Bayesian networks learning algorithms based on computational intelligence meta-heuristic algorithms. These algorithms are applied to a new domain provided by the exclusive data, available to this project from an industry partnership with ODS-Petrodata, a business intelligence company in Aberdeen, Scotland. This research proposes statistical models that serve as a foundation for building a novel operational tool for forecasting the performance of rig drilling operations. A prototype for a tool able to forecast the future performance of a drilling operation is created using the obtained data, the statistical model and the experts' domain knowledge. This work makes the following contributions: applying K2GA and Bayesian networks to a real-world industry problem; developing a well-performing and adaptive solution to forecast oil drilling rig performance; using the knowledge of industry experts to guide the creation of competitive models; creating models able to forecast oil drilling rig performance consistently with nearly 80% forecast accuracy, using either logistic regression or Bayesian network learning using genetic algorithms; introducing the node juxtaposition analysis graph, which allows the visualisation of the frequency of nodes links appearing in a set of orderings, thereby providing new insights when analysing node ordering landscapes; exploring the correlation factors between model score and model predictive accuracy, and showing that the model score does not correlate with the predictive accuracy of the model; exploring a method for feature selection using multiple algorithms and drastically reducing the modelling time by multiple factors; proposing new fixed structure Bayesian network learning algorithms for node ordering search-space exploration. Finally, this work proposes real-world applications for the models based on current industry needs, such as recommender systems, an oil drilling rig selection tool, a user-ready rig performance forecasting software and rig scheduling tools

    Project schedule optimisation utilising genetic algorithms

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    This thesis extends the body of research into the application of Genetic Algorithms to the Project Scheduling Problem (PSP). A thorough literature review is conducted in this area as well as in the application of other similar meta-heuristics. The review extends previous similar reviews to include PSP utilizing the Design Structure Matrix (DSM), as well as incorporating recent developments. There is a need within industry for optimisation algorithms that can assist in the identification of optimal schedules when presented with a network that can present a number of possible alternatives. The optimisation requirement may be subtle only performing slight resource levelling or more profound by selecting an optimal mode of execution for a number of activities or evaluating a number of alternative strategies. This research proposes a unique, efficient algorithm using adaptation based on the fitness improvement over successive generations. The algorithm is tested initially using a MATLAB based implementation to solve instances of the travelling salesman problem (TSP). The algorithm is then further developed both within MATLAB and Microsoft Project Visual Basic to optimise both known versions of the Resource Constrained Project Scheduling Problems as well as investigating newly defined variants of the problem class.EThOS - Electronic Theses Online ServiceGBUnited Kingdo

    Intelligent Scheduling of Medical Procedures

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    In the Canadian universal healthcare system, public access to care is not limited by monetary or social economic factors. Rather, waiting time is the dominant factor limiting public access to healthcare. Excessive waiting lowers quality of life while waiting, and worsening of condition during the delay, which could lower the effectiveness of the planned operation. Excessive waiting has also been shown to carry economic cost. At the core of the wait time problem is a resource scheduling and management issue. The scheduling of medical procedures is a complex and difficult task. The goal of research in this thesis is to develop the foundation models and algorithms for a resource optimization system. Such a system will help healthcare administrators intelligently schedule procedures to optimize resource utilization, identify bottlenecks and reduce patient wait times. This thesis develops a novel framework, the MPSP model, to model medical procedures. The MPSP model is designed to be general and versatile to model a variety of different procedures. The specific procedure modeled in detail in this thesis is the haemodialysis procedure. Solving the MPSP model exactly to obtain guaranteed optimal solutions is computationally expensive and not practical for real-time scheduling. A fast, high quality evolutionary heuristic, gMASH, is developed to quickly solve large problems. The MPSP model and the gMASH heuristic form a foundation for an intelligent medical procedures scheduling and optimization system
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