4,608 research outputs found

    Weak convergence of the weighted empirical beta copula process

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    The empirical copula has proved to be useful in the construction and understanding of many statistical procedures related to dependence within random vectors. The empirical beta copula is a smoothed version of the empirical copula that enjoys better finite-sample properties. At the core lie fundamental results on the weak convergence of the empirical copula and empirical beta copula processes. Their scope of application can be increased by considering weighted versions of these processes. In this paper we show weak convergence for the weighted empirical beta copula process. The weak convergence result for the weighted empirical beta copula process is stronger than the one for the empirical copula and its use is more straightforward. The simplicity of its application is illustrated for weighted Cram\'er--von Mises tests for independence and for the estimation of the Pickands dependence function of an extreme-value copula.Comment: 19 pages, 2 figure

    Measuring and testing dependence by correlation of distances

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    Distance correlation is a new measure of dependence between random vectors. Distance covariance and distance correlation are analogous to product-moment covariance and correlation, but unlike the classical definition of correlation, distance correlation is zero only if the random vectors are independent. The empirical distance dependence measures are based on certain Euclidean distances between sample elements rather than sample moments, yet have a compact representation analogous to the classical covariance and correlation. Asymptotic properties and applications in testing independence are discussed. Implementation of the test and Monte Carlo results are also presented.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/009053607000000505 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

    A randomness test for functional panels

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    Functional panels are collections of functional time series, and arise often in the study of high frequency multivariate data. We develop a portmanteau style test to determine if the cross-sections of such a panel are independent and identically distributed. Our framework allows the number of functional projections and/or the number of time series to grow with the sample size. A large sample justification is based on a new central limit theorem for random vectors of increasing dimension. With a proper normalization, the limit is standard normal, potentially making this result easily applicable in other FDA context in which projections on a subspace of increasing dimension are used. The test is shown to have correct size and excellent power using simulated panels whose random structure mimics the realistic dependence encountered in real panel data. It is expected to find application in climatology, finance, ecology, economics, and geophysics. We apply it to Southern Pacific sea surface temperature data, precipitation patterns in the South-West United States, and temperature curves in Germany.Comment: Supplemental material from the authors' homepage or upon reques

    Measures of Variability for Bayesian Network Graphical Structures

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    The structure of a Bayesian network includes a great deal of information about the probability distribution of the data, which is uniquely identified given some general distributional assumptions. Therefore it's important to study its variability, which can be used to compare the performance of different learning algorithms and to measure the strength of any arbitrary subset of arcs. In this paper we will introduce some descriptive statistics and the corresponding parametric and Monte Carlo tests on the undirected graph underlying the structure of a Bayesian network, modeled as a multivariate Bernoulli random variable. A simple numeric example and the comparison of the performance of some structure learning algorithm on small samples will then illustrate their use.Comment: 19 pages, 4 figures. arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:0909.168
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