Local Regularization Assisted Orthogonal Least Squares Regression

A locally regularized orthogonal least squares (LROLS) algorithm is proposed for constructing parsimonious or sparse regression models that generalize well. By associating each orthogonal weight in the regression model with an individual regularization parameter, the ability for the orthogonal least squares (OLS) model selection to produce a very sparse model with good generalization performance is greatly enhanced. Furthermore, with the assistance of local regularization, when to terminate the model selection procedure becomes much clearer. This LROLS algorithm has computational advantages over the recently introduced relevance vector machine (RVM) method

Pruning Error Minimization in Least Squares Support Vector Machines

The support vector machine (SVM) is a method for classification and for function approximation. This method commonly makes use of an /spl epsi/-insensitive cost function, meaning that errors smaller than /spl epsi/ remain unpunished. As an alternative, a least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) uses a quadratic cost function. When the LSSVM method is used for function approximation, a nonsparse solution is obtained. The sparseness is imposed by pruning, i.e., recursively solving the approximation problem and subsequently omitting data that has a small error in the previous pass. However, omitting data with a small approximation error in the previous pass does not reliably predict what the error will be after the sample has been omitted. In this paper, a procedure is introduced that selects from a data set the training sample that will introduce the smallest approximation error when it will be omitted. It is shown that this pruning scheme outperforms the standard one

A MRAS-based Learning Feed-forward Controller

Inspired by learning feed–forward control structures, this paper considers the adaptation of the parameters of a model–reference based learning feed–forward controller that realizes an inverse model of the process. The actual process response is determined by a setpoint generator. For linear systems it can be proved that the controlled system is asymptotically stable in the sense of Liapunov. Compared with more standard model reference configurations this system has a superior performance. It is fast, robust and relatively insensitive for noisy measurements. Simulations with an arbitrary second–order process and with a model of a typical fourth–ordermechatronics process demonstrate this

Energy performance forecasting of residential buildings using fuzzy approaches

The energy consumption used for domestic purposes in Europe is, to a considerable extent, due to heating and cooling. This energy is produced mostly by burning fossil fuels, which has a high negative environmental impact. The characteristics of a building are an important factor to determine the necessities of heating and cooling loads. Therefore, the study of the relevant characteristics of the buildings, regarding the heating and cooling needed to maintain comfortable indoor air conditions, could be very useful in order to design and construct energy-efficient buildings. In previous studies, different machine-learning approaches have been used to predict heating and cooling loads from the set of variables: relative compactness, surface area, wall area, roof area, overall height, orientation, glazing area and glazing area distribution. However, none of these methods are based on fuzzy logic. In this research, we study two fuzzy logic approaches, i.e., fuzzy inductive reasoning (FIR) and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), to deal with the same problem. Fuzzy approaches obtain very good results, outperforming all the methods described in previous studies except one. In this work, we also study the feature selection process of FIR methodology as a pre-processing tool to select the more relevant variables before the use of any predictive modelling methodology. It is proven that FIR feature selection provides interesting insights into the main building variables causally related to heating and cooling loads. This allows better decision making and design strategies, since accurate cooling and heating load estimations and correct identification of parameters that affect building energy demands are of high importance to optimize building designs and equipment specifications.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

An adaptive sampling method for global sensitivity analysis based on least-squares support vector regression

In the field of engineering, surrogate models are commonly used for approximating the behavior of a physical phenomenon in order to reduce the computational costs. Generally, a surrogate model is created based on a set of training data, where a typical method for the statistical design is the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS). Even though a space filling distribution of the training data is reached, the sampling process takes no information on the underlying behavior of the physical phenomenon into account and new data cannot be sampled in the same distribution if the approximation quality is not sufficient. Therefore, in this study we present a novel adaptive sampling method based on a specific surrogate model, the least-squares support vector regresson. The adaptive sampling method generates training data based on the uncertainty in local prognosis capabilities of the surrogate model - areas of higher uncertainty require more sample data. The approach offers a cost efficient calculation due to the properties of the least-squares support vector regression. The opportunities of the adaptive sampling method are proven in comparison with the LHS on different analytical examples. Furthermore, the adaptive sampling method is applied to the calculation of global sensitivity values according to Sobol, where it shows faster convergence than the LHS method. With the applications in this paper it is shown that the presented adaptive sampling method improves the estimation of global sensitivity values, hence reducing the overall computational costs visibly