Selection of simulation tools for improving supply chain performance

Simulation is an effective method for improving supply chain performance. However, there is limited advice available to assist practitioners in selecting the most appropriate method for a given problem. Much of the advice that does exist relies on custom and practice rather than a rigorous conceptual or empirical analysis. An analysis of the different modelling techniques applied in the supply chain domain was conducted, and the three main approaches to simulation used were identified; these are System Dynamics (SD), Discrete Event Simulation (DES) and Agent Based Modelling (ABM). This research has examined these approaches in two stages. Firstly, a first principles analysis was carried out in order to challenge the received wisdom about their strengths and weaknesses and a series of propositions were developed from this initial analysis. The second stage was to use the case study approach to test these propositions and to provide further empirical evidence to support their comparison. The contributions of this research are both in terms of knowledge and practice. In terms of knowledge, this research is the first holistic cross paradigm comparison of the three main approaches in the supply chain domain. Case studies have involved building ‘back to back’ models of the same supply chain problem using SD and a discrete approach (either DES or ABM). This has led to contributions concerning the limitations of applying SD to operational problem types. SD has also been found to have risks when applied to strategic and policy problems. Discrete methods have been found to have potential for exploring strategic problem types. It has been found that discrete simulation methods can model material and information feedback successfully. Further insights have been gained into the relationship between modelling purpose and modelling approach. In terms of practice, the findings have been summarised in the form of a framework linking modelling purpose, problem characteristics and simulation approach

Imperfect quality items in inventory and supply chain management

The assumption that all items are of good quality is technologically unattainable in most supply chain applications. Moreover, inventory theories are often built upon the assumption that the rates of demand, screening, deterioration and defectiveness are constant and known, even though this is rarely the case in practice. In addition, the classical formulation of a two-warehouse inventory model is often based on the Last-In-First-Out (LIFO) or First-In-First-Out (FIFO) dispatching policy. The LIFO policy relies upon inventory stored in a rented warehouse (RW), with an ample capacity, being consumed first, before depleting inventory of an owned warehouse (OW) that has a limited capacity. Consumption works the other way around for the FIFO policy. This PhD research aims to advance the current state of knowledge in the field of inventory mathematical modelling and management by means of providing theoretically valid and empirically viable generalised inventory frameworks to assist inventory managers towards the determination of optimum order/production quantities that minimise the total system cost. The aim is reflected on the following six objectives: 1) to explore the implications of the inspection process in inventory decision-making and link such process with the management of perishable inventories; 2) to derive a general, step-by-step solution procedure for continuous intra-cycle periodic review applications; 3) to demonstrate how the terms “deterioration”, “perishability” and “obsolescence” may collectively apply to an item; 4) to develop a new dispatching policy that is associated with simultaneous consumption fractions from an owned warehouse (OW) and a rented warehouse (RW). The policy developed is entitled “Allocation-In-Fraction-Out (AIFO)”; 5) to relax the inherent determinism related to the maximum fulfilment of the capacity of OW to maximising net revenue; and 6) to assess the impact of learning on the operational and financial performance of an inventory system with a two-level storage. Four general Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) models for items with imperfect quality are presented. The first model underlies an inventory system with a singlelevel storage (OW) and the other three models relate to an inventory system with a two-level storage (OW and RW). The three models with a two-level storage underlie, respectively, the LIFO, FIFO and AIFO dispatching policies. Unlike LIFO and FIFO, AIFO implies simultaneous consumption fractions associated with RW and OW. That said, the goods at both warehouses are depleted by the end of the same cycle. This necessitates the introduction of a key performance indicator to trade-off the costs associated with AIFO, LIFO and FIFO. Each lot that is delivered to the sorting facility undergoes a 100 per cent screening and the percentage of defective items per lot reduces according to a learning curve. The mathematical formulation reflects a diverse range of time-varying forms. The behaviour of time-varying demand, screening and deterioration rates, defectiveness, and value of information (VOI) are tested. Special cases that demonstrate application of the theoretical models in different settings lead to the generation of interesting managerial insights. For perishable products, we demonstrate that LIFO and FIFO may not be the right dispatching policies. Further, relaxing the inherent determinism of the maximum capacity associated with OW, not only produces better results and implies comprehensive learning,but may also suggest outsourcing the inventory holding through vendor managed inventory