Decision Support Systems for Financial Market Surveillance

Entscheidungsunterstützungssysteme in der Finanzwirtschaft sind nicht nur für die Wis-senschaft, sondern auch für die Praxis von großem Interesse. Um die Finanzmarktüber-wachung zu gewährleisten, sehen sich die Finanzaufsichtsbehörden auf der einen Seite, mit der steigenden Anzahl von onlineverfügbaren Informationen, wie z.B. den Finanz-Blogs und -Nachrichten konfrontiert. Auf der anderen Seite stellen schnell aufkommen-de Trends, wie z.B. die stetig wachsende Menge an online verfügbaren Daten sowie die Entwicklung von Data-Mining-Methoden, Herausforderungen für die Wissenschaft dar. Entscheidungsunterstützungssysteme in der Finanzwirtschaft bieten die Möglichkeit rechtzeitig relevante Informationen für Finanzaufsichtsbehörden und Compliance-Beauftragte von Finanzinstituten zur Verfügung zu stellen. In dieser Arbeit werden IT-Artefakte vorgestellt, welche die Entscheidungsfindung der Finanzmarktüberwachung unterstützen. Darüber hinaus wird eine erklärende Designtheorie vorgestellt, welche die Anforderungen der Regulierungsbehörden und der Compliance-Beauftragten in Finan-zinstituten aufgreift

Social media as a data gathering tool for international business qualitative research: opportunities and challenges

Lusophone African (LA) multinational enterprises (MNEs) are becoming a significant pan-African and global economic force regarding their international presence and influence. However, given the extreme poverty and lack of development in their home markets, many LA enterprises seeking to internationalize lack resources and legitimacy in international markets. Compared to higher income emerging markets, Lusophone enterprises in Africa face more significant challenges in their internationalization efforts. Concomitantly, conducting significant international business (IB) research in these markets to understand these MNEs internationalization strategies can be a very daunting task. The fast-growing rise of social media on the Internet, however, provides an opportunity for IB researchers to examine new phenomena in these markets in innovative ways. Unfortunately, for various reasons, qualitative researchers in IB have not fully embraced this opportunity. This article studies the use of social media in qualitative research in the field of IB. It offers an illustrative case based on qualitative research on internationalization modes of LAMNEs conducted by the authors in Angola and Mozambique using social media to identify and qualify the population sample, as well as interact with subjects and collect data. It discusses some of the challenges of using social media in those regions of Africa and suggests how scholars can design their studies to capitalize on social media and corresponding data as a tool for qualitative research. This article underscores the potential opportunities and challenges inherent in the use of social media in IB-oriented qualitative research, providing recommendations on how qualitative IB researchers can design their studies to capitalize on data generated by social media.https://doi.org/10.1080/15475778.2019.1634406https://doi.org/10.1080/15475778.2019.1634406https://doi.org/10.1080/15475778.2019.1634406https://doi.org/10.1080/15475778.2019.1634406Accepted manuscriptPublished versio

An Exploratory Study of Patient Falls

Debate continues between the contribution of education level and clinical expertise in the nursing practice environment. Research suggests a link between Baccalaureate of Science in Nursing (BSN) nurses and positive patient outcomes such as lower mortality, decreased falls, and fewer medication errors. Purpose: To examine if there a negative correlation between patient falls and the level of nurse education at an urban hospital located in Midwest Illinois during the years 2010-2014? Methods: A retrospective crosssectional cohort analysis was conducted using data from the National Database of Nursing Quality Indicators (NDNQI) from the years 2010-2014. Sample: Inpatients aged ≥ 18 years who experienced a unintentional sudden descent, with or without injury that resulted in the patient striking the floor or object and occurred on inpatient nursing units. Results: The regression model was constructed with annual patient falls as the dependent variable and formal education and a log transformed variable for percentage of certified nurses as the independent variables. The model overall is a good fit, F (2,22) = 9.014, p = .001, adj. R2 = .40. Conclusion: Annual patient falls will decrease by increasing the number of nurses with baccalaureate degrees and/or certifications from a professional nursing board-governing body

Machine Learning and Alternative Data Analytics for Fashion Finance

This dissertation investigates the application of Machine Learning, Natural Language Processing and computational finance to a novel area Fashion Finance. Specifically identifying investment opportunities within the Apparel industry using influential alternative data sources such as Instagram. Fashion investment is challenging due to the ephemeral nature of the industry and the difficulty for investors who lack an understanding of how to analyze trend-driven consumer brands. Unstructured online data (e-commerce stores, social media, online blogs, news, etc.), introduce new opportunities for investment signals extraction. We focus on how trading signals can be generated from the Instagram data and events reported in the news articles. Part of this research work was done in collaboration with Arabesque Asset Management. Farfetch, the online luxury retailer, and Living Bridge Private Equity provided industry advice. Research Datasets The datasets used for this research are collected from various sources and include the following types of data: - Financial data: daily stock prices of 50 U.S. and European Apparel and Footwear equities, daily U.S. Retail Trade and U.S. Consumer Non-Durables sectors indices, Form 10-K reports. - Instagram data: daily Instagram profile followers for 11 fashion companies. - News data: 0.5 mln news articles that mention selected 50 equities. Research Experiments The thesis consists of the below studies: 1. Relationship between Instagram Popularity and Stock Prices. This study investigates a link between the changes in a company's popularity (daily followers counts) on Instagram and its stock price, revenue movements. We use cross-correlation analysis to find whether the signals derived from the followers' data could help to infer a company's future financial performance. Two hypothetical trading strategies are designed to test if the changes in a company's Instagram popularity could improve the returns. To test the hypotheses, Wilcoxon signed-rank test is used. 2. Dynamic Density-based News Clustering. The aim of this study is twofold: 1) analyse the characteristics of relevant news event articles and how they differ from the noisy/irrelevant news; 2) using the insights, design an unsupervised framework that clusters news articles and identifies events clusters without predefined parameters or expert knowledge. The framework incorporates the density-based clustering algorithm DBSCAN where the clustering parameters are selected dynamically with Gaussian Mixture Model and by maximizing the inter-cluster Information Entropy. 3. ALGA: Automatic Logic Gate Annotator for Event Detection. We design a news classification model for detecting fashion events that are likely to impact a company's stock price. The articles are represented by the following text embeddings: TF-IDF, Doc2Vec and BERT (Transformer Neural Network). The study is comprised of two parts: 1) we design a domain-specific automatic news labelling framework ALGA. The framework incorporates topic extraction (Latent Dirichlet Allocation) and clustering (DBSCAN) algorithms in addition to other filters to annotate the dataset; 2) using the labelled dataset, we train Logistic Regression classifier for identifying financially relevant news. The model shows the state-of-the-art results in the domain-specific financial event detection problem. Contribution to Science This research work presents the following contributions to science: - Introducing original work in Machine Learning and Natural Language Processing application for analysing alternative data on ephemeral fashion assets. - Introducing the new metrics to measure and track a fashion brand's popularity for investment decision making. - Design of the dynamic news events clustering framework that finds events clusters of various sizes in the news articles without predefined parameters. - Present the original Automatic Logic Gate Annotator framework (ALGA) for automatic labelling of news articles for the financial event detection task. - Design of the Apparel and Footwear news events classifier using the datasets generated by the ALGA's framework and show the state-of-the-art performance in a domain-specific financial event detection task. - Build the \textit{Fashion Finance Dictionary} that contains 320 phrases related to various financially-relevant events in the Apparel and Footwear industry

Detecting Abnormal Behavior in Web Applications

The rapid advance of web technologies has made the Web an essential part of our daily lives. However, network attacks have exploited vulnerabilities of web applications, and caused substantial damages to Internet users. Detecting network attacks is the first and important step in network security. A major branch in this area is anomaly detection. This dissertation concentrates on detecting abnormal behaviors in web applications by employing the following methodology. For a web application, we conduct a set of measurements to reveal the existence of abnormal behaviors in it. We observe the differences between normal and abnormal behaviors. By applying a variety of methods in information extraction, such as heuristics algorithms, machine learning, and information theory, we extract features useful for building a classification system to detect abnormal behaviors.;In particular, we have studied four detection problems in web security. The first is detecting unauthorized hotlinking behavior that plagues hosting servers on the Internet. We analyze a group of common hotlinking attacks and web resources targeted by them. Then we present an anti-hotlinking framework for protecting materials on hosting servers. The second problem is detecting aggressive behavior of automation on Twitter. Our work determines whether a Twitter user is human, bot or cyborg based on the degree of automation. We observe the differences among the three categories in terms of tweeting behavior, tweet content, and account properties. We propose a classification system that uses the combination of features extracted from an unknown user to determine the likelihood of being a human, bot or cyborg. Furthermore, we shift the detection perspective from automation to spam, and introduce the third problem, namely detecting social spam campaigns on Twitter. Evolved from individual spammers, spam campaigns manipulate and coordinate multiple accounts to spread spam on Twitter, and display some collective characteristics. We design an automatic classification system based on machine learning, and apply multiple features to classifying spam campaigns. Complementary to conventional spam detection methods, our work brings efficiency and robustness. Finally, we extend our detection research into the blogosphere to capture blog bots. In this problem, detecting the human presence is an effective defense against the automatic posting ability of blog bots. We introduce behavioral biometrics, mainly mouse and keyboard dynamics, to distinguish between human and bot. By passively monitoring user browsing activities, this detection method does not require any direct user participation, and improves the user experience