213 research outputs found

    Application of a D Number based LBWA Model and an Interval MABAC Model in Selection of an Automatic Cannon for Integration into Combat Vehicles

    Get PDF
    A decision making procedure for selection of a weapon system involves different, often contradictory criteriaand reaching decisions under conditions of uncertainty. This paper proposes a novel multi-criteria methodology based on D numbers which enables efficient analysis of the information used for decision making. The proposed methodology has been developed in order to enable selection of an efficient weapon system under conditions when a large number of hierarchically structured evaluation criteria has to be processed. A novel D number based Level Based Weight Assessment – Multi Attributive Border Approximation area Comparison (D LBWA-MABAC) model is used for selection of an automatic cannon for integration into combat vehicles. Criteria weights are determined based on the improved LBWA-D model. The traditional MABAC method has been further developed by integration of interval numbers. A hybrid D LBWA-MABAC framework is used for evaluation of an automatic cannon for integration into combat vehicles. Nine weapon systems used worldwide have been ranked in this paper. This multicriteria approach allows decision makers to assess options objectively and reach a rational decision regarding the selection of an optimal weapon system. Validation of the proposed methodology is performed through sensitivity analysis which studies how changes in the weights of the best criterion and the elasticity coefficient affect the ranking results

    Relational Research between China’s Marine S&T and Economy Based on RPGRA Model

    Get PDF
    To make up the defect of the existing model, an improved grey relational model based on radian perspective (RPGRA) is put forward. According to the similarity of the relative change trend of time series translating traditional grey relational degree into radian algorithm within different piecewise functions, it greatly improves the accuracy and validity of the research results by making full use of the poor information in time series. Meanwhile, the properties of the RPGRA were discussed. The relationship between China’s marine S&T and marine economy is researched using the new model, so the validity and creditability of RPGRA are illustrated. The empirical results show that marine scientific and technological research projects, marine scientific and technological patents granted, and research funds receipts of the marine scientific research institutions have greater relationship with GOP, which indicates that they have more impact on China’s marine economy

    An evaluation for sustainable mobility extended by D numbers

    Get PDF
    How to evaluate the impact of transport measures on city sustainability effectively is still an open issue, and it can be abstracted as one of the multiple criteria decision making problems. In this paper, a new method based on D numbers is proposed to evaluate the sustainable mobility of city. D number is a new mathematical tool to represent and deal uncertain information. The property of integration of D numbers is employed to fusion information. A numerical example of carsharing demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method

    Evidential Identification of New Target based on Residual

    Get PDF
    Both incompleteness of frame of discernment and interference of data will lead to conflict evidence and wrong fusion. However how to identify new target that is out of frame of discernment is important but difficult when it is possible that data are interfered. In this paper, evidential identification based on residual is proposed to identify new target that is out of frame of discernment when it is possible that data are interfered. Through finding the numerical relation in different attributes, regress equations are established among various attributes in frame of discernment. And then collected data will be adjusted according to three mean value. Finally according to weighted residual it is able to decide whether the target requested to identify is new target. Numerical examples are used to verify this method

    New Failure Mode and Effects Analysis based on D Numbers Downscaling Method

    Get PDF
    Failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is extensively applied to process potential faults in systems, designs, and products. Nevertheless, traditional FMEA, classical risk priority number (RPN), acquired by multiplying the ratings of occurrence, detection, and severity, risk assessment, is not effective to process the uncertainty in FMEA. Many methods have been proposed to solve the issue but deficiencies exist, such as huge computing quality and the mutual exclusivity of propositions. In fact, because of the subjectivity of experts, the boundary of two adjacent evaluation ratings is fuzzy so that the propositions are not mutually exclusive. To address the issues, in this paper, a new method to evaluate risk in FMEA based on D numbers and evidential downscaling method, named as D numbers downscaling method, is proposed. In the proposed method, D numbers based on the data are constructed to process uncertain information and aggregate the assessments of risk factors, for they permit propositions to be not exclusive mutually. Evidential downscaling method decreases the number of ratings from 10 to 3, and the frame of discernment from 2^{10} to 2^3 , which greatly reduce the computational complexity. Besides, a numerical example is illustrated to validate the high efficiency and feasibility of the proposed method

    Uncertainty management in assessment of FMEA expert based on negation information and belief entropy

    Get PDF
    The failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is a commonly adopted approach in engineering failure analysis, wherein the risk priority number (RPN) is utilized to rank failure modes. However, assessments made by FMEA experts are full of uncertainty. To deal with this issue, we propose a new uncertainty management approach for the assessments given by experts based on negation information and belief entropy in the Dempster–Shafer evidence theory framework. First, the assessments of FMEA experts are modeled as basic probability assignments (BPA) in evidence theory. Next, the negation of BPA is calculated to extract more valuable information from a new perspective of uncertain information. Then, by utilizing the belief entropy, the degree of uncertainty of the negation information is measured to represent the uncertainty of different risk factors in the RPN. Finally, the new RPN value of each failure mode is calculated for the ranking of each FMEA item in risk analysis. The rationality and effectiveness of the proposed method is verified through its application in a risk analysis conducted for an aircraft turbine rotor blade
    • …
    corecore