18,776 research outputs found
Sequential Monte Carlo pricing of American-style options under stochastic volatility models
We introduce a new method to price American-style options on underlying
investments governed by stochastic volatility (SV) models. The method does not
require the volatility process to be observed. Instead, it exploits the fact
that the optimal decision functions in the corresponding dynamic programming
problem can be expressed as functions of conditional distributions of
volatility, given observed data. By constructing statistics summarizing
information about these conditional distributions, one can obtain high quality
approximate solutions. Although the required conditional distributions are in
general intractable, they can be arbitrarily precisely approximated using
sequential Monte Carlo schemes. The drawback, as with many Monte Carlo schemes,
is potentially heavy computational demand. We present two variants of the
algorithm, one closely related to the well-known least-squares Monte Carlo
algorithm of Longstaff and Schwartz [The Review of Financial Studies 14 (2001)
113-147], and the other solving the same problem using a "brute force" gridding
approach. We estimate an illustrative SV model using Markov chain Monte Carlo
(MCMC) methods for three equities. We also demonstrate the use of our algorithm
by estimating the posterior distribution of the market price of volatility risk
for each of the three equities.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/09-AOAS286 the Annals of
Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
Computational Methods for Pricing and Hedging Derivatives
In this thesis, we propose three new computational methods to price financial derivatives and construct hedging strategies under several underlying asset price dynamics. First, we introduce a method to price and hedge European basket options under two displaced processes with jumps, which are capable of accommodating negative skewness and excess kurtosis. The new approach uses Hermite polynomial expansion of a standard normal variable to match the first m moments of the standardised basket return. It consists of Black-and-Scholes type formulae and its improvement on the existing methods is twofold: we consider more realistic asset price dynamics and we allow more flexible specifications for the basket.
Additionally, we propose two methods for pricing and hedging American options: one quasi-analytic and one numerical method. The first approach aims to increase the accuracy of almost any existing quasi-analytic method for American options under the geometric Brownian motion dynamics. The new method relies on an approximation of the optimal exercise price near the beginning of the contract combined with existing pricing approaches.
An extensive scenario-based study shows that the new method improves the existing pricing and hedging formulae, for various maturity ranges, and, in particular, for long-maturity options where the existing methods perform worst.
The second method combines Monte Carlo simulation with weighted least squares regressions to estimate the continuation value of American-style derivatives, in a similar framework to the one of the least squares Monte Carlo method proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz. We justify the introduction of the weighted least squares regressions by numerically and theoretically demonstrating that the regression estimators in the least squares Monte Carlo method are not the best linear unbiased estimators (BLUE) since there is evidence of heteroscedasticity in the regression errors. We find that the new method considerably reduces the upward bias in pricing that affects the least squares Monte Carlo algorithm. Finally, the superiority of our new two approaches for American options are also illustrated over real financial data by considering S&P 100 options and LEAPS®, traded from 15 February 2012 to 10 December 2014
Application of Operator Splitting Methods in Finance
Financial derivatives pricing aims to find the fair value of a financial
contract on an underlying asset. Here we consider option pricing in the partial
differential equations framework. The contemporary models lead to
one-dimensional or multidimensional parabolic problems of the
convection-diffusion type and generalizations thereof. An overview of various
operator splitting methods is presented for the efficient numerical solution of
these problems.
Splitting schemes of the Alternating Direction Implicit (ADI) type are
discussed for multidimensional problems, e.g. given by stochastic volatility
(SV) models. For jump models Implicit-Explicit (IMEX) methods are considered
which efficiently treat the nonlocal jump operator. For American options an
easy-to-implement operator splitting method is described for the resulting
linear complementarity problems.
Numerical experiments are presented to illustrate the actual stability and
convergence of the splitting schemes. Here European and American put options
are considered under four asset price models: the classical Black-Scholes
model, the Merton jump-diffusion model, the Heston SV model, and the Bates SV
model with jumps
Markov Functional Market Model nd Standard Market Model
The introduction of so called Market Models (BGM) in 1990s has developed
the world of interest rate modelling into a fresh period. The obvious
advantages of the market model have generated a vast amount of research
on the market model and recently a new model, called Markov functional
market model, has been developed and is becoming increasingly popular.
To be clearer between them, the former is called standard market model
in this paper.
Both standard market models and Markov functional market models are
practically popular and the aim here is to explain theoretically how each
of them works in practice. Particularly, implementation of the standard
market model has to rely on advanced numerical techniques since Monte
Carlo simulation does not work well on path-dependent derivatives. This
is where the strength of the Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm comes in. The
successful application of the Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm with the standard
market model, more or less, adds another weight to the fact that the
Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm is extensively applied in practice
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