35,461 research outputs found
Conjugate Bayes for probit regression via unified skew-normal distributions
Regression models for dichotomous data are ubiquitous in statistics. Besides
being useful for inference on binary responses, these methods serve also as
building blocks in more complex formulations, such as density regression,
nonparametric classification and graphical models. Within the Bayesian
framework, inference proceeds by updating the priors for the coefficients,
typically set to be Gaussians, with the likelihood induced by probit or logit
regressions for the responses. In this updating, the apparent absence of a
tractable posterior has motivated a variety of computational methods, including
Markov Chain Monte Carlo routines and algorithms which approximate the
posterior. Despite being routinely implemented, Markov Chain Monte Carlo
strategies face mixing or time-inefficiency issues in large p and small n
studies, whereas approximate routines fail to capture the skewness typically
observed in the posterior. This article proves that the posterior distribution
for the probit coefficients has a unified skew-normal kernel, under Gaussian
priors. Such a novel result allows efficient Bayesian inference for a wide
class of applications, especially in large p and small-to-moderate n studies
where state-of-the-art computational methods face notable issues. These
advances are outlined in a genetic study, and further motivate the development
of a wider class of conjugate priors for probit models along with methods to
obtain independent and identically distributed samples from the unified
skew-normal posterior
A Stochastic Resource-Sharing Network for Electric Vehicle Charging
We consider a distribution grid used to charge electric vehicles such that
voltage drops stay bounded. We model this as a class of resource-sharing
networks, known as bandwidth-sharing networks in the communication network
literature. We focus on resource-sharing networks that are driven by a class of
greedy control rules that can be implemented in a decentralized fashion. For a
large number of such control rules, we can characterize the performance of the
system by a fluid approximation. This leads to a set of dynamic equations that
take into account the stochastic behavior of EVs. We show that the invariant
point of these equations is unique and can be computed by solving a specific
ACOPF problem, which admits an exact convex relaxation. We illustrate our
findings with a case study using the SCE 47-bus network and several special
cases that allow for explicit computations.Comment: 13 pages, 8 figure
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