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A Quantitative Security Assessment of Modern Cyber Attacks. A Framework for Quantifying Enterprise Security Risk Level Through System's Vulnerability Analysis by Detecting Known and Unknown Threats
Cisco 2014 Annual Security Report clearly outlines the evolution of the threat landscape and the increase of the number of attacks. The UK government in 2012 recognised the cyber threat as Tier-1 threat since about 50 government departments have been either subjected to an attack or a direct threat from an attack. The cyberspace has become the platform of choice for businesses, schools, universities, colleges, hospitals and other sectors for business activities. One of the major problems identified by the Department of Homeland Security is the lack of clear security metrics. The recent cyber security breach of the US retail giant TARGET is a typical example that demonstrates the weaknesses of qualitative security, also considered by some security experts as fuzzy security. High, medium or low as measures of security levels do not give a quantitative representation of the network security level of a company. In this thesis, a method is developed to quantify the security risk level of known and unknown attacks in an enterprise network in an effort to solve this problem. The identified vulnerabilities in a case study of a UK based company are classified according to their severity risk levels using common vulnerability scoring system (CVSS) and open web application security project (OWASP). Probability theory is applied against known attacks to create the security metrics and, detection and prevention method is suggested for company network against unknown attacks. Our security metrics are clear and repeatable that can be verified scientificall
A quantitative measure of the security risk level of enterprise networks
NoAlong with the tremendous expansion of information technology and networking, the number of malicious attacks which cause disruption to business processes has concurrently increased. Despite such attacks, the aim for network administrators is to enable these systems to continue delivering the services they are intended for. Currently, many research efforts are directed towards securing network further whereas, little attention has been given to the quantification of network security which involves assessing the vulnerability of these systems to attacks. In this paper, a method is devised to quantify the security level of IT networks. This is achieved by electronically scanning the network using the vulnerability scanning tool (Nexpose) to identify the vulnerability level at each node classified according to the common vulnerability scoring system standards (critical, severe and moderate). Probabilistic approach is then applied to calculate an overall security risk level of sub networks and entire network. It is hoped that these metrics will be valuable for any network administrator to acquire an absolute risk assessment value of the network. The suggested methodology has been applied to a computer network of an existing UK organization with 16 nodes and a switch