Implicit scene context-aware interactive trajectory prediction for autonomous driving

The accurate prediction of behaviors of surrounding traffic participants is critical for autonomous vehicles (AV). How to fully encode both explicit (e.g., map structure and road geometry) and implicit scene context information (e.g., traffic rules) within complex scenarios is still challenging. In this work, we propose an implicit scene context-aware trajectory prediction framework (the PRISC-Net, Prediction with Implicit Scene Context) for accurate and interactive behavior forecasting. The novelty of the proposed approach includes: 1) development of a behavior prediction framework that takes advantage of both model- and learning-based approaches to fully encode scene context information while modeling complex interactions; 2) development of a candidate path target predictor that utilizes explicit and implicit scene context information for candidate path target prediction, along with a motion planning-based generator that generates kinematic feasible candidate trajectories; 3) integration of the proposed target predictor and trajectory generator with a learning-based evaluator to capture complex agent-agent and agent-scene interactions and output accurate predictions. Experiment results based on vehicle behavior datasets and real-world road tests show that the proposed approaches outperform state-of-the-art methods in terms of prediction accuracy and scene context compliance

Human Motion Trajectory Prediction: A Survey

With growing numbers of intelligent autonomous systems in human environments, the ability of such systems to perceive, understand and anticipate human behavior becomes increasingly important. Specifically, predicting future positions of dynamic agents and planning considering such predictions are key tasks for self-driving vehicles, service robots and advanced surveillance systems. This paper provides a survey of human motion trajectory prediction. We review, analyze and structure a large selection of work from different communities and propose a taxonomy that categorizes existing methods based on the motion modeling approach and level of contextual information used. We provide an overview of the existing datasets and performance metrics. We discuss limitations of the state of the art and outline directions for further research.Comment: Submitted to the International Journal of Robotics Research (IJRR), 37 page

Exploiting Map Topology Knowledge for Context-predictive Multi-interface Car-to-cloud Communication

While the automotive industry is currently facing a contest among different communication technologies and paradigms about predominance in the connected vehicles sector, the diversity of the various application requirements makes it unlikely that a single technology will be able to fulfill all given demands. Instead, the joint usage of multiple communication technologies seems to be a promising candidate that allows benefiting from characteristical strengths (e.g., using low latency direct communication for safety-related messaging). Consequently, dynamic network interface selection has become a field of scientific interest. In this paper, we present a cross-layer approach for context-aware transmission of vehicular sensor data that exploits mobility control knowledge for scheduling the transmission time with respect to the anticipated channel conditions for the corresponding communication technology. The proposed multi-interface transmission scheme is evaluated in a comprehensive simulation study, where it is able to achieve significant improvements in data rate and reliability

Dynamic Occupancy Grid Prediction for Urban Autonomous Driving: A Deep Learning Approach with Fully Automatic Labeling

Long-term situation prediction plays a crucial role in the development of intelligent vehicles. A major challenge still to overcome is the prediction of complex downtown scenarios with multiple road users, e.g., pedestrians, bikes, and motor vehicles, interacting with each other. This contribution tackles this challenge by combining a Bayesian filtering technique for environment representation, and machine learning as long-term predictor. More specifically, a dynamic occupancy grid map is utilized as input to a deep convolutional neural network. This yields the advantage of using spatially distributed velocity estimates from a single time step for prediction, rather than a raw data sequence, alleviating common problems dealing with input time series of multiple sensors. Furthermore, convolutional neural networks have the inherent characteristic of using context information, enabling the implicit modeling of road user interaction. Pixel-wise balancing is applied in the loss function counteracting the extreme imbalance between static and dynamic cells. One of the major advantages is the unsupervised learning character due to fully automatic label generation. The presented algorithm is trained and evaluated on multiple hours of recorded sensor data and compared to Monte-Carlo simulation