Analysis of uncertainty of rice farming income in Subak Munggu, Cempaga Village, Bangli Regency

Abstract

Indonesia is a fertile country with a tropical climate, which makes it a country with great potential to produce commodities in the agricultural sector. Farming is defined as a business in the agricultural sector (food, horticulture, ornamental crops, plantations, fisheries, forestry, and livestock). The population in this study is all farmers who are members of Subak Munggu, where the sample was deliberately determined through a census of 70 farmers. To analyze income uncertainty, production and income value data are needed, then measure the spread of risk using a quantitative approach that can be calculated using the expected yield value as an indicator of the probability of investment and the variety and standard deviation measures as risk indicators. The higher the value of the coefficient of variation, the higher the risk to a farm, and vice versa. So, it can be said that the farmer who has the highest coefficient of variation is the riskiest. The lower limit of the highest yield or the upper limit of income is the lowest nominal value of the income that the farmer may receive. If the value is less than zero, then it is likely that the farmer will suffer losses