Assessing the Impact of Spacecraft Fragmentation in the Cislunar Region

Abstract

The Cislunar region consists of the area of space between the Earth and the Moon. Rapid technological advancements have resulted in an increasing number of satellites sent to orbit the Moon. The dynamics of the Cislunar region are significantly more complex and chaotic compared to Low-Earth Orbit. This research focuses on analyzing the impact of satellite explosions in the domain, specifically at destinations with significant Cislunar traffic. Simulations of explosions at different locations of periodic orbits are carried out in order to study debris propagation. The primary objective of this research lies in creating a robust debris propagation scheme and identifying high-risk locations for explosions. Additionally, potential hazards caused by debris to other satellites in the vicinity are evaluated. Gaining insight into these impacts helps reinforce better safety measures by considering the potential risks related to spacecraft fragmentation in the Cislunar region, and adjust policies based on predictions of future needs and accidents