Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output: SAMO 2004

Abstract

The Fourth International Conference on Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output (SAMO 2004) was held from March 8 through March 11, 2004, in Santa Fe, New Mexico. The previous SAMO conferences were held in Belgirate, Italy (September 25–27, 1995), Venice, Italy (April 19–22, 1998), and Madrid, Spain (June 18–19, 2001). The SAMO conferences are single-track meetings that promote in-depth technical discussions of issues related to the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of model predictions. In the context of the SAMO conferences, uncertainty analysis refers to the determination of the uncertainty in model predictions that results from uncertainty in model inputs, and sensitivity analysis refers to the determination of the contributions of the uncertainty in individual model inputs to the uncertainty in model predictions. Here, model is used broadly enough to include large analyses that involve multiple individual models that are linked together, and model input is used broadly enough to include designators for alternative models or modeling assumptions.JRC.G.9 - Econometrics and statistical support to antifrau