Universidade do Minho. Núcleo de Investigação em Microeconomia Aplicada (NIMA)
Abstract
This paper analyses the pattern and rate of adoption of mobile telephones by the Portuguese
population. It is shown that the pattern of diffusion is S-shaped and is consistent with a
logistic function, which describes a symmetrical growth process. Furthermore, it is found
that about 67 percent of the population will likely adopt mobile phones, and that the
levelling-off process in the diffusion of mobile phones has already begun. The analysis is
intended to inform the larger discussion of managing the communications service, as well
as to assist analysts concerned about assessing the impact of public policies in the evolution
of communications sectors.Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT
