Statistical and deep learning methods for geoscience problems

Abstract

Machine learning is the new frontier for technology development in geosciences and has developed extremely fast in the past decade. With the increased compute power provided by distributed computing and Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) and their exploitation provided by machine learning (ML) frameworks such as Keras, Pytorch, and Tensorflow, ML algorithms can now solve complex scientific problems. Although powerful, ML algorithms need to be applied to suitable problems conditioned for optimal results. For this reason ML algorithms require not only a deep understanding of the problem but also of the algorithm’s ability. In this dissertation, I show that Simple statistical techniques can often outperform ML-based models if applied correctly. In this dissertation, I show the success of deep learning in addressing two difficult problems. In the first application I use deep learning to auto-detect the leaks in a carbon capture project using pressure field data acquired from the DOE Cranfield site in Mississippi. I use the history of pressure, rates, and cumulative injection volumes to detect leaks as pressure anomaly. I use a different deep learning workflow to forecast high-energy electrons in Earth’s outer radiation belt using in situ measurements of different space weather parameters such as solar wind density and pressure. I focus on predicting electron fluxes of 2 MeV and higher energy and introduce the ensemble of deep learning models to further improve the results as compared to using a single deep learning architecture. I also show an example where a carefully constructed statistical approach, guided by the human interpreter, outperforms deep learning algorithms implemented by others. Here, the goal is to correlate multiple well logs across a survey area in order to map not only the thickness, but also to characterize the behavior of stacked gamma ray parasequence sets. Using tools including maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and dynamic time warping (DTW) provides a means of generating quantitative maps of upward fining and upward coarsening across the oil field. The ultimate goal is to link such extensive well control with the spectral attribute signature of 3D seismic data volumes to provide a detailed maps of not only the depositional history, but also insight into lateral and vertical variation of mineralogy important to the effective completion of shale resource plays

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