Risk and sensitivity quantification of fracture failure employing cohesive zone elements

Abstract

Many structures are subjected to the risk of fatigue failure. For their reliability-based design, it is thus important to calculate the probability of fatigue failure and assess the relative importance of the involved parameters. Although various studies have analyzed the fatigue failure, the stage of fracture failure has been less focused. In particular, the risk analysis of fracture failure needs to be conducted considering its importance in actual structures. This article proposes a new probabilistic framework for the risk and sensitivity analysis of structural fatigue failure employing cohesive zone elements. The proposed framework comprises three steps, namely finite element analysis using cohesive zone elements, response surface construction, and risk and sensitivity analysis of fatigue failure, which require several mathematical techniques and algorithms. The proposed framework is tested by applying it to an illustrative example, and the corresponding analysis results of fracture failure probability with different threshold values of a limit-state function are presented. In addition, the sensitivities of failure risk with respect to the statistical parameters of random variables are presented and their relative importance is discussed