The Minto Flats is one of the important waterfowl concentration areas of interior Alaska. Aerial surveys and ground studies were initiated in this area in 1950 and have continued
in succeeding years. This study began in September, 1955, as
a research project of the Alaska Cooperative Wildlife Research
Unit. The study was financed largely by Pitman-Robertson Project
Alaska W-3-R.
The Minto Flats is an area of about 450 square miles,
located about 35 miles west of Fairbanks. The important nesting
species are scaup, pintail and widgeon. The Minto Lakes area
serves as an important molting and flocking area for these and
other species. Climatically the Minto Flats resemble the rest
of interior Alaska. Water levels in the area are highly variable and influence the vegetation and breeding.
Minto Lakes, Big Lake, and the Tolovana Flats were selected for concentrated study in 1956. During the 1956 field studies, data were collected for comparison with data available
from previous years.
Waterfowl production in the Minto Flats area is affected
principally by weather, changes in water level, and predation.
Among the factors influencing censusing are the census
methods, stratification, and sample size. Enumeration of waterfowl is affected by differences in the visibility of birds, population composition, environmental conditions, and the accuracy
of observers in relation to the other variables and in regard to individual partiality and talent. The difference between observers, when analyzed statistically points out the
need for continuity of observers with known levels of ability.
Breeding bird census figures from aerial surveys from
1950 t o 1956 are not comparable due to differences in census
methods.
Aerial brood surveys are valuable for determining year to year
production trends while ground surveys provide data on brood
species composition. Together they are the best guide to waterfowl production.
Nesting studies have provided some data on nesting terrain,
clutch size, and nesting success. The effect of nest hunting
on the breeding population and the time necessary for obtaining
an adequate sample indicates that nest hunting is not an economical or accurate means of measuring yearly productive success.
Aerial surveys are recognized as the most feasible way of
measuring production if the accuracy of the information
gathered from the air can be increased
