'Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)'
Abstract
We report the results of several theoretical studies into the convergence rate for certain random series representations of α-stable random variables, which are motivated by and find application in modelling heavy-tailed noise in time series analysis, inference, and stochastic processes. The use of α-stable noise distributions generally leads to analytically intractable inference problems. The particular version of the Poisson series representation invoked here implies that the resulting distributions are “conditionally Gaussian,” for which inference is relatively straightforward, although an infinite series is still involved. Our approach is to approximate the residual (or “tail”) part of the series from some point, c > 0, say, to ∞, as a Gaussian random variable. Empirically, this approximation has been found to be very accurate for large c. We study the rate of convergence, as c → ∞, of this Gaussian approximation. This allows the selection of appropriate truncation parameters, so that a desired level of accuracy for the approximate model can be achieved. Explicit, nonasymptotic bounds are obtained for the Kolmogorov distance between the relevant distribution functions, through the application of probability-theoretic tools. The theoretical results obtained are found to be in very close agreement with numerical results obtained in earlier work