Hu Suk Lee

Thanh Long Pham

Vuong Nghia Bui

Wieland, Barbara

English

CGSpace

§ This study offers valuable insight into how ASF virus can be transmitted via direct and indirect contact and controlled§ Strict movement control and high standards of biosecurity can contribute to the reduction of disease spreadA simulation model for African swine fever (ASF) in domestic pigs and evaluation of movement control strategies in VietnamPOVERTY REDUCTION, LIVELIHOODS & JOBSPartnersOutcomes• The enforcement of movement restrictions is an effective control measure if implemented as soon as outbreaks are confirmed.• To be effective, movement restrictions need to reach at least between 50% and 75% of the population, and they need to be applied in a timely manner. The CGIAR Research Program on Livestock thanks all donors & organizations which globally support its work through their contributions to the CGIAR Trust Fund. cgiar.org/fundersThis document is licensed for use under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence. June 2020Context• In Vietnam, the first African swine fever (ASF) outbreak was in backyard pig farms reported in February 2019 . Since then, the disease has spread countrywide and caused ongoing.• The main reason for the rapid spread was  low biosecurity at farm level and poor management.• Simulation models are a useful tool for decision-makers to evaluate the impact of outbreaks as well as to identify and evaluate cost-effective control strategies.Our innovative approach• We modelled ASF transmission in domestic pigs in the Mekong Delta Region, Vietnam using different scenarios by adjusting model parameters.• What-if scenarios estimated the impact of movement control strategy scenarios. Future steps • The findings of this study provide the basis for a cost-benefit analysis of control strategies in Vietnam• This simulation model can be applied to other regions or countries with modified parametersHu Suk Lee, ILRIh.s.lee@cigar.orgLIVESTOCK HEALTHHu Suk Lee1, Vuong Nghia Bui2, Thanh Long Pham3, Barbara Wieland41. International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), Hanoi, Vietnam  |  2. National Institute of Veterinary Research, 86 Truong Chinh, Hanoi, Vietnam  |  3. Epidemiology Division, Department of Animal Health, Hanoi, Vietnam |  4. International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), Addis Ababa, EthiopiaScreenshot of simulation model

A simulation model for African swine fever (ASF) in domestic pigs and evaluation of movement control strategies in Vietnam

https://cgspace.cgiar.org/bitstream/10568/109639/1/hu.pdf

A simulation model for African swine fever (ASF) in domestic pigs and evaluation of movement control strategies in Vietnam

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