Machine learning and robust MPC for frequency regulation with heat pumps

Abstract

With the increased amount of volatile renewable energy sources connected to the electricity grid, there is an increased need for frequency regulation. On the demand side, frequency regulation services can be offered by buildings that are equipped with electric heating or cooling systems, by exploiting the thermal inertia of the building. Existing approaches for tapping into this potential typically rely on a first-principles building model, which in practice can be expensive to obtain and maintain. Here, we use the thermal inertia of a buffer storage instead, reducing the model of the building to a demand forecast. By combining a control scheme based on robust Model Predictive Control, with heating demand forecasting based on Artificial Neural Networks and online correction methods, we offer frequency regulation reserves and maintain user comfort with a system comprising a heat pump and a storage tank. We improve the exploitation of the small thermal capacity of buffer storage by using affine policies on uncertain variables. These are chosen optimally in advance, and modify the planned control sequence as the values of uncertain variables are discovered. In a three day experiment with a real multi-use building we show that the scheme is able to offer reserves and track a regulation signal while meeting the heating demand of the building. In additional numerical studies, we demonstrate that using affine policies significantly decreases the cost function and increases the amount of offered reserves and we investigate the suboptimality in comparison to an omniscient control system.Comment: 13 pages, 12 figures, 1 table, submitted to IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technolog

    Similar works