We model galaxy evolution in the 6.75 and 15 micron passbands of the ISO
satellite, by combining models of galaxy evolution at optical wavelengths
(which are consistent with the optical galaxy counts) with observed spectral
energy distributions in the infra-red. Our model is consistent with the local
12 micron galaxy luminosity, if 3.5 per cent of spirals at z=0 are in
interacting pairs with mid-infra-red luminosities enhanced by major starbursts.
Source counts from deep ISO surveys exceed non-evolving predictions but are
more consistent with our evolving model. The steep number count of 6.75 micron
sources appears to be explained primarily by evolving early-type galaxies,
whereas at 15 microns the main contributors are star-forming spirals and
starbursting interacting/merging galaxies. The 31 per cent of 15 micron sources
which are visibly interacting galaxies have high mid-infra-red/optical flux
ratios indicating major starbursts combined with dust extinction. The numbers
and high mean redshift of these sources suggest the merger-starbursts are
increasing in luminosity with redshift, approximately as (1+z)^2, in addition
to undergoing (1+z)^2 number evolution reflecting the optically observed
increase with redshift in the fraction of interacting galaxies.Comment: 12 pages, Latex, 12 figures, submitted to MNRA
