The excessive emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) into the atmosphere
threaten to shift the CO2 cycle planet-wide and induce unpredictable climate
changes. Using artificial intelligence (AI) trained on high-throughput first
principles based data for a broad family of oxides, we develop a strategy for a
rational design of catalytic materials for converting CO2 to fuels and other
useful chemicals. We demonstrate that an electron transfer to the
π∗-antibonding orbital of the adsorbed molecule and the associated bending
of the initially linear molecule, previously proposed as the indicator of
activation, are insufficient to account for the good catalytic performance of
experimentally characterized oxide surfaces. Instead, our AI model identifies
the common feature of these surfaces in the binding of a molecular O atom to a
surface cation, which results in a strong elongation and therefore weakening of
one molecular C-O bond. This finding suggests using the C-O bond elongation as
an indicator of CO2 activation. Based on these findings, we propose a set of
new promising oxide-based catalysts for CO2 conversion, and a recipe to find
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