Adamson, L

Dixon, A

Tilley, N

English

White Rose Research Online

This is a repository copy of Rail Network Crime and Passenger Travel in the Pandemic.White Rose Research Online URL for this paper:http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/166960/Version: Published VersionMonograph:Dixon, A, Adamson, L and Tilley, N (2020) Rail Network Crime and Passenger Travel in thePandemic. Report. STATISTICAL BULLETIN ON CRIME AND COVID-19 . University of Leeds ISSN 2634-4424 https://doi.org/10.5518/100/34eprints@whiterose.ac.ukhttps://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/Reuse This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) licence. This licence allows you to distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon the work, even commercially, as long as you credit the authors for the original work. More information and the full terms of the licence here: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/ Takedown If you consider content in White Rose Research Online to be in breach of UK law, please notify us by emailing eprints@whiterose.ac.uk including the URL of the record and the reason for the withdrawal request.   20 Oct 2020                           STATISTICAL BULLETIN ON CRIME AND COVID-19                                       Issue 10     Rail Network Crime and Passenger Travel in the Pandemic  Anthony Dixon, University of Leeds Lara Adamson, British Transport Police Nick Tilley, University College London  British Transport Police (BTP) is responsible for policing passengers, staff, trains, lines, stations and properties (including car parks and bike stands) associated with the stations in England, Scotland and Wales.  Key Findings:   Network rail crime fell by more than two-thirds by April 2020, the decline beginning slightly before the national lockdown on 23 March.  Declines in motor vehicle theft, bike theft, sex crimes and, theft of passenger property, largely tracked declines in passenger numbers.   Figure 1: Overall patterns of BTP recorded crime, by week, January 2016-June 2020      National Lockdown  BTP recorded year on year increases in crime from January 2016 to March 2020.  Each year there were marked falls in numbers of recorded crimes from the latter part of December to early January.  The drop in recorded crime associated with the pandemic was unprecedented: crime fell substantially below the level experienced at any period from January 2016 to March 2020.   The drop in crime began before the start of the national lockdown.  2020 Previous Years   20 Oct 2020                           STATISTICAL BULLETIN ON CRIME AND COVID-19                                       Issue 10       Figure 2: Network Rail Crime and Number of Passengers: Percent Change from Expected Rates in Pandemic                 = % Passengers of expected.         = National Lockdown                = % Crime of expected       Drops in most crime types (for example motor vehicle theft, bike theft, sex crimes, theft of passenger property) closely tracked the fall in passenger numbers.  Trends in crimes reflecting BTP Police and staff vigilance (for example drugs, criminal damage, weapons, graffiti) did not track the fall in passenger numbers in the same way.  Note: 0% indicates no change from numbers of crimes that would be expected from previous years. More than 0% indicates an increase in what would be expected. Less than 0% indicates a decrease in what would be expected. Expected numbers of offences are calculated from the previous four years using Prophet model.    © The Authors (2020). DOI: http://doi.org/10.5518/100/34 . ISSN: 2634-4424. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons (CC-BY 4.0). Series editors: G. Farrell and A. Dixon.  This research was funded by the Economic and Social Research Council under the UK Research and Innovation open call on COVID-19, grant ES/V00445X/1. Passengers 

Rail Network Crime and Passenger Travel in the Pandemic

https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/166960/1/COVIDCrimeStatsBulletin_10_BTP_PandemicCrime.pdf

Rail Network Crime and Passenger Travel in the Pandemic

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