Blazar Flaring Rates Measured with GLAST

Abstract

We derive the minimum observing time scales to detect a blazar at a given flux level with the LAT on GLAST in the scanning and pointing modes. Based upon Phase 1 observations with EGRET, we predict the GLAST detection rate of blazar flares at different flux levels. With some uncertainty given the poor statistics of bright blazars, we predict that a blazar flare with integral flux >~ 200e-8 ph(> 100 MeV) cm^{-2} s^{-1}, which are the best candidates for Target of Opportunity pointings and extensive temporal and spectral studies, should occur every few days.Comment: 7 pages, 2 figures, in 2nd VERITAS Symposium on TeV Astrophysiscs, ed. L. Fortson and S. Swordy, in press, New Astronomy Review