Analisis Pengaruh Nilai Kurs, Laju Inflasi Dan Gross Domestic Product Terhadap Ekspor Minyak Mentah Indonesia Periode 1990-2019

Abstract

The study was to analyze the impact of kurs, inflation and gross domestic product (GDP) on Indonesia's crude oil exports during the 1990-2019 period. The approach in this study use a secondary or quantitative data based on time dimensions in the 1990-2019 periods. The data that collected from Statistic Centre Berau/BPS (include: the real exchange rate, national revenue, inflation, exchange rate, and money circulate), Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries/OPEC (include: production, export and import of crude oil), and the World Bank (Gross Domestic Product). This study use Linear Regression Model (LRM) and then for estimating the parameters by applying the method of Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Test results with test F show present simultaneous influence between exchange variables, inflation and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on significantly crude oil exports. The partial influence indicates that the exchange rate has proven to have a negative and significant impact on crude oil exports, but inflation variables have significantly positive effects, while gross gross product /GDP has a negative and significant impact on crude oil export

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