An emerging consensus among policy makers is that interventions undertaken by
Internet Service Providers are the best way to counter the rising incidence of
malware. However, assessing the suitability of countermeasures at this scale is
hard. In this paper, we use an agent-based model, called ASIM, to investigate
the impact of policy interventions at the Autonomous System level of the
Internet. For instance, we find that coordinated intervention by the
0.2%-biggest ASes is more effective than uncoordinated efforts adopted by 30%
of all ASes. Furthermore, countermeasures that block malicious transit traffic
appear more effective than ones that block outgoing traffic. The model allows
us to quantify and compare positive externalities created by different
countermeasures. Our results give an initial indication of the types and levels
of intervention that are most cost-effective at large scale.Comment: 22 pages, 9 Figures, Presented at the Tenth Workshop on the Economics
of Information Security, Jun 201