Recently, D/DoS attacks have been launched by zombie IoT devices in smart home networks. They pose a great threat to to network systems with Application Layer DDoS attacks being especially hard to detect due to their stealth and seemingly legitimacy. In this paper, we propose we propose ForChaos, a lightweight detection algorithm for IoT devices, that is based on forecasting and chaos theory to identify flooding and DDoS attacks. For every time-series behaviour collected, a forecasting-technique prediction is generated, based on a number of features, and the error between the two values is calcualted. In order to assess the error of the forecasting from the actual value, the lyapunov exponent is used to detect potential malicious behaviour. In NS-3 we evaluate our detection algorithm through a series of experiments in Flooding and Slow-Rate DDoS attacks. The results are presented and discussed in detail and compared with related studies, demonstrating its effectiveness and robustness
