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A Tale of Two Governments? Government Responses and Perceived Influence in the 2014 Protests in Bosnia and Herzegovina
Authors
Alesina
Alesina
+64 more
Andrews
Arsenijević
Beber
Beber
Bhprotestfiles
Biggs
Busuladžić
Cederman
Cederman
Ceriani
Chenoweth
Chenoweth
Cunningham
Cunningham
Dahl
Davenport
De Noni
DL.O.Opravdano Nezadovoljstvo
Downes
Fischer
Francisco
Gamson
Gamson
Granovetter
Gurr
International Crisis Group
Jenkins
Jukić
Kerpelman
Khawaja
Klandermans
Klix
Kocher
Labour Force Survey
Le Bon
Lichbach
Lichbach
Marx
Marzal
McAdam
McCarthy
Milan
Mujanovic
Muller
Nardelli
Oberschall
Olivier
Olson
Piazza
Popović
Pugh
Radio Sarajevo
Radnici
Rasler
Sadiković
Sladojević
Snow
Tarrow
Thomas
Tilly
Tilly
Zald
Zuvela
Šunj
Publication date
20 March 2018
Publisher
'Oxford University Press (OUP)'
Doi
Abstract
© The Author(s) (2018). Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) experienced an unprecedented wave of non-sectarian anti-government protests in 2014. Although the key motivating factors generally highlighted such as economic marginalization and poor governance were common throughout Bosnia and Herzegovina, the protests did not extend to all parts of the country. Notably, despite very similar initial conditions in the two jurisdictions of the country, the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina (FBiH) saw major unrest with a large number of participants in many locations while subsequent protest mobilization was much more limited in the Republic of Srpska (RS). We take advantage of the variation in the responses from the two governments in the same country to evaluate how observed and anticipated government responses can shape the willingness to join dissident activity. We argue that variation in government responses and its impact on perceptions on prospects for successful collective action can help account for the differences in mobilization across the two entities. We test our expectations using a new data set on protest events, participants and government responses in BiH from January to April 2014. Our findings are consistent with the argument that coherent repressive government policies tend to suppress mobilization, while mixes of repressive responses and concessions from the government can encourage further mobilization. The results for FBiH show clear variation in protest following changes in government behavior, and are consistent the claim that repressive responses likely suppressed mobilization in the RS.European Research Council and the Research Council of Norwa
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