A Macroeconomic Policy Analysis of the First Presidency of George W. Bush

Abstract

When George W. Bush was inaugurated as president of the United States in 2001, the economic climate forecasted by the US Office of Management and Budget included $5.6 trillion in cumulative surpluses over the next ten years. On the campaign trail in 2000, Mr. Bush declared his own spending plans for the expected surpluses: half allocated toward Social Security funds; one quarter toward “important projects;” and the last fourth toward tax cuts for the people (Economist 2003). Unfortunately, the president\u27s plans were thwarted by the sudden dot-com bust in parallel with the financial uncertainty that followed the September 11 disaster. In March 2001, less than three months into Mr. Bush\u27s first term, the economy officially entered a recession

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