Reliability predictions of electronic equipment are considered highly valuable; yet the most widely used technique, Military Handbook 217 is criticized as inaccurate. The industry response to the Handbook has been to develop a myriad of methodologies for failure rate prediction. This paper uses four (4) reliability prediction methods to forecast the failure rate of two (2) circuit boards for which a field failure history exists. The predicted failure rate for each procedure on each board is compared to the actual failure rate; and a first-order correction factor is calculated
