The transition to turbulence in Rayleigh-Benard convection with phase changes
and the resulting convective patterns are studied in a three-dimensional
Galerkin model. Our study is focused to the conditionally unstable regime of
moist convection in which the stratification is stable for unsaturated air
parcels and unstable for saturated parcels. We perform a comprehensive
statistical analysis of the transition to convection that samples the
dependence of attractors (or fixed points) in the phase space of the model on
the dimensionless parameters. Conditionally unstable convection can be
initiated either from a fully unsaturated linearly stable equilibrium or a
fully saturated linearly unstable equilibrium. Highly localized moist
convection can be found in steady state, in oscillating recharge-discharge
regime or turbulent in dependence on the aspect ratio and the degree of stable
stratification of the unsaturated air. Our phase space analysis predicts
parameter ranges for which self-sustained convective regimes in the case of
subcritical conditional instability can be observed. The observed regime
transitions for moist convection bear some similarities to transitions to
turbulence in simple shear flows.Comment: 30 pages, 14 Postscript figure