Numerical continuation methods for deterministic dynamical systems have been
one of the most successful tools in applied dynamical systems theory.
Continuation techniques have been employed in all branches of the natural
sciences as well as in engineering to analyze ordinary, partial and delay
differential equations. Here we show that the deterministic continuation
algorithm for equilibrium points can be extended to track information about
metastable equilibrium points of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). We
stress that we do not develop a new technical tool but that we combine results
and methods from probability theory, dynamical systems, numerical analysis,
optimization and control theory into an algorithm that augments classical
equilibrium continuation methods. In particular, we use ellipsoids defining
regions of high concentration of sample paths. It is shown that these
ellipsoids and the distances between them can be efficiently calculated using
iterative methods that take advantage of the numerical continuation framework.
We apply our method to a bistable neural competition model and a classical
predator-prey system. Furthermore, we show how global assumptions on the flow
can be incorporated - if they are available - by relating numerical
continuation, Kramers' formula and Rayleigh iteration.Comment: 29 pages, 7 figures [Fig.7 reduced in quality due to arXiv size
restrictions]; v2 - added Section 9 on Kramers' formula, additional
computations, corrected typos, improved explanation