A mobility analysis of the occupational status of the graduates of the University of Palermo in an economic crisis context

Abstract

In such a global economic crisis context, our aims are describing the mobil- ity of the Palermitan graduates in the labour market, identifying the variables that inuence most their occupational status and nally outlining a transi- tion probability structure among the states: Work, Search for a Job, Study, Other. The availability of a large amount of longitudinal data provided by the surveys carried out by STELLA (Statistics about Graduates and Labour Market) allowed us to analyze the mobility of the graduates of the Univer- sity of Palermo among the dierent occupational states in three dierent times. We analyze data coming from a disproportionate stratied sample of graduates in 2009, interviewed three dierent times: one year (2010), three years (2012), ve years (2014) after the graduation. To achieve our aim, rst we provide a brief descriptive analysis of the main characteristics of the graduates gathered by the three dierent surveys; secondly we t a time in- homogeneous multi-state Markov model with piecewise constant intensities; eventually implications from the main results are discussed.

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