Homicídios de mulheres nas distintas regiões brasileiras nos últimos 35 anos: análise do efeito da idade-período e coorte de nascimento

Abstract

Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca. Departamento de Estudos sobre Violência e Saúde Jorge Careli. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte. Escola de Saúde. Natal, RN, BrasilFundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca. Departamento de Estudos sobre Violência e Saúde Jorge Careli. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BrasilInstituto Nacional do Câncer. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BrasilFundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Politécnica Joaquim Venâncio. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte. Escola de Saúde. Natal, RN, BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte. Escola de Saúde. Natal, RN, BrasilFundação Oswaldo Cruz. Centro de Pesquisa René Rachou. Belo Horizonte, MG, BrasilThe aim of this study is to estimate the effects of age-period-birth cohort (APC) on female homicides. This is an ecological study which analyzed the violence-related death records of women aged 10 years and older, in the Brazilian geographic regions, between 1980 and 2014. Data on mortality were extracted from the Mortality Information System. The trend analysis was conducted using negative binomial regression and APC effects were analyzed using estimable functions. The average mortality rate for the period was 5.13 deaths per 100,000 women, with the highest rates observed in the Central-West (7.98 deaths), followed by the Southeast (4.78 deaths), North (4.77 deaths), Northeast (4.05 deaths) and South (3.82 deaths) regions. All regions presented a decrease in the risk of death in the period from 2010 to 2014, except for the Northeast region (RR = 1.06, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.10). There was a progressive increase in the homicide risk for women born from 1955 to 1959 in all Brazilian regions. Younger women are at higher risk of dying from homicides in all Brazilian geographic regions. The upward trend of homicide mortality rates according to birth cohort was significant and the highest risk was observed in women born between 2000 and 2004