Euro / dollar : quelle stratégie de change pour la Tunisie ?

Abstract

Tunisia makes 70% of its trade with euro zone. So, pegging to euro seems to be a suitable exchange rate policy. Giving that its external debt is denominated at the rate of 45% in US dollar, 30% in euros and 10% in Japanese yen, this policy may be painful if the dollar appreciates, because debt will be more expensive. The aim of this paper is to know if Tunisian authorities take into account of the external financing constraint in making their exchange policy. If it is so, is it suitable to peg to euro? For this purpose, we compared the actually exchange rate policy to the one that should be in targeting both competitiveness and external financing constraint. JEL Classification: F31; F37; O24.competitiveness, debt denomination, tunisian dinar, optimal peg