Oil Prices and Real Exchange Rates in Oil-Exporting Countries: A Bounds Testing Approach

Abstract

We test the validity of the Dutch disease hypothesis by examining the relationship between real oil prices and real exchange rates in a sample of fourteen oil exporting countries. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds tests of cointegration support the existence of a stable relationship between real exchange rates and real oil prices in all countries, suggesting a strong support for the Dutch disease hypothesis.Oil Prices, Real Exchange Rates, Dutch Disease, Cointegration, Autoregressive Distributed Lags