Payne, Krista K.

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Bowling Green State University: ScholarWorks@BGSU

Bowling Green State University ScholarWorks@BGSU National Center for Family and Marriage Research Family Profiles Sociology 2014 FP-14-18 The Marriage Rate and the Great Recession Krista K. Payne Bowling Green State University, kristaw@bgsu.edu Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.bgsu.edu/ncfmr_family_profiles  Part of the Family, Life Course, and Society Commons Repository Citation Payne, Krista K., "FP-14-18 The Marriage Rate and the Great Recession" (2014). National Center for Family and Marriage Research Family Profiles. 104. https://scholarworks.bgsu.edu/ncfmr_family_profiles/104 This Report is brought to you for free and open access by the Sociology at ScholarWorks@BGSU. It has been accepted for inclusion in National Center for Family and Marriage Research Family Profiles by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks@BGSU. The Marriage Rate and the Great RecessionKrista K. PayneNCFMRFamily ProfilesFP-14-18Family Profiles examine topics related to NCFMR’s core research themes. Data are presented at both the national and state levels using new data sources. Written for both re-searchers and broad communities, these profiles summarize the latest statistics on U.S. families.Figure 1. Marriage Rate, 2000 - 2013Economic conditions are linked to marriage patterns—increases in the unemployment rate are associated with reduced odds of marriage (Schaller, 2012). Conversely, better labor markets are found to reduce differences in marriage among certain subpopulations within the U.S. (Harknett & Kuperberg, 2012). Using data from the American Community Surveys, 2008-2013, this profile examines changes in marriage rates among men and women ages 15 and older during and immediately following the Great Recession. Rates for 2008-2012 are also examined by race/ethnicity and educational attainment (information on marriages in the last year by race/ethnicity or educational attainment are not available on American Factfinder for 2013).• During the Recession, the marriage rate continued its precipitous decline. After hitting a 120+ year low in 2011 at 33.1 marriages per 1,000 unmarried persons, there has been no substantial change in the marriage rate. In 2013, there were 33.2 marriages per 1,000 unmarried persons.References:Schaller, J. (2012). For richer, if not for poorer? Marriage and divorce over the business cycle. Journal of Population Economics, 26, 1007-1033. doi: 10.1007/s00148-012-0413-0Harknett, K. & Kuperberg, A. (2012). Education, labor markets and the retreat from marriage. Social Forces, 90(1), 41-64.46.437.5 36.433.8 33.1 33.6 33.2051015202530354045501999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Per 1,000 Unmarried PopulationSources: 2000 data - NVS; 2008-2013 - ACS, 1-Year EstimatesMen and Women Ages 15+005 Williams Hall • Bowling Green State University • Bowling Green, OH 43403http://ncfmr.bgsu.edu • 419.372.4910 • ncfmr@bgsu.edu 2Sources: 2008-2012 - ACS, 1-Year EstimatesNCFMRFamily ProfilesFP-14-18Suggested Citation:Payne, K. K. (2014).  The Marriage Rate and the Great Recession (FP-14-18).  National Center for Family & Marriage Research.   Retrieved from http://www.bgsu.edu/content/dam/ BGSU/college-of-arts-and-sciences/NCFMR/documents/FP/FP-14-18-marriage-rate-recession.pdfThis project is supported with assistance from Bowling Green State University. From 2007 to 2013, support was also provided by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation. The opinions and conclusions expressed herein are solely those of the author(s) and should not be construed as representing the opinions or policy of any agency of the state or federal government.Educational AttainmentFigure 2. Marriage Rate by Educational Attainment, 2008 - 2012• There is a positive relationship between educational attainment and the marriage rate—those with higher levels of education have higher rates of marriage.• The observed 2012 uptick in the marriage rate is being driven by the highest educated who went from a five-year-low of 55.3 marriages per 1,000 unmarried men and women in 2011 to 56.7 in 2012. For those with moderate education (HS/GED or Some College), the marriage rate continued to decline, with 2012 marking a low since the recession. Among the least educated, there has been minimal change since a low of 15.0 marriages per 1,000 unmarried in 2010.17.515.335.730.042.536.461.556.708162432404856642008 2009 2010 2011 2012<H.S. H.S./GED Some College College DegreeRace & EthnicitySources: 2008-2012 - ACS, 1-Year Estimates38.735.225.221.550.446.042.636.608162432404856642008 2009 2010 2011 2012White Black Asian Hispanic• The marriage rate declined from 2008 to 2011 for the White and Hispanic single population. However, in 2012 the marriage rate increased slightly for both of these groups. • A similar pattern occurred for the single Black population, but a year sooner (2011).   Figure 3. Marriage Rate by Race & Ethnicity, 2008 - 2012

FP-14-18 The Marriage Rate and the Great Recession

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FP-14-18 The Marriage Rate and the Great Recession

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