Objectives: To quantify the value of TDM of dual PIs (IDV and RTV 800/100 bid) as cost per additional person with undetectable viral load<50 copies per mL (UVL) at 6 months from a government payer perspective.
Methods: We developed a theoretical model (DATA 3.5) to estimate the costs and outcomes of usual care with genotyping (UC) compared to genotyping + TDM in HIV+ and ART experienced patients beginning a new regimen. Based on previous studies, we estimated a 20% difference in the proportion of patients achieving UVL who had therapeutic vs subtherapeutic PI concentrations. Approximately 15% to 40% of patients receiving dual PIs have subtherapeutic concentrations (STC). We assumed 15% of TDM and UC would switch the PI at 3 months due to adverse events (AE) and cost an extra CDN238.06inphysicianvisitsandlabs.TDMpatientshadaminimumofonepeak/troughmeasurementperPI,costingCDN100. We assumed TDM patients with STC required 3 peak/trough assays per PI, two physician visits and a 20% increase in indinavir dose to attain therapeutic concentrations.
Results: If at least 15% of the population had STC with dual PI use, and 85% tolerated the TDM dose increase, management with TDM would cost an additional CDN178perpatient(UC:6954 vs TDM: 7132)andachieveUVLin1additionalpatientper100(UC:74.5109 and achieve UVL in 8 additional patients per 100 by 6 months.
Conclusions: If TDM proves to be efficacious, knowing the cost of implementing TDM in Canada will be as equally as important. Given this preliminary data, TDM potentially provides an important improvement at a reasonable additional cost